Yield curve and spread decomposition
Government yields are split into expected short rates and term premia with affine term structure models, and credit spreads into expected loss and risk premia, so a repricing can be read by its source.
GRA · Capital Markets Nexus
Keuangan spasialTempat modal bertemu bahaya, keterpaparan, dan transisi
Financial economics explains how prices, risk premia and balance sheets turn shocks into market moves. In capital markets it is used to decompose yields and spreads, to model how leverage and margin amplify selling, and to trace how stress in one asset class reaches others, with each estimate’s assumptions and label stated.
Financial economics and macro-finance study how asset prices, credit and financial institutions interact with the real economy. They explain how shocks are amplified or absorbed through balance sheets and markets. In capital markets and investment and financial stability, financial economics traces how physical, health or cyber shocks transmit to credit, sovereign debt and markets. It informs macroprudential policy and the pricing of risk. The canonical description is on STEM Commons.
Government yields are split into expected short rates and term premia with affine term structure models, and credit spreads into expected loss and risk premia, so a repricing can be read by its source.
Balance sheet models trace how a price fall raises margins and haircuts, forces sales by leveraged holders and pushes prices further, with the behavioural assumptions written down.
Measures such as conditional value at risk and marginal expected shortfall describe which institutions contribute most to system-wide stress, reported as estimates with their sample periods.
Tampilan eksposur, kerugian, skenario, dan modal yang akan diminta oleh pejabat risiko, otoritas pengawas, atau kementerian keuangan, beserta kerangka pelaporan yang mereka gunakan. Strukturnya mengikuti praktik pengawasan dan aktuaria. Nilai bersifat ilustratif: tidak pernah merupakan harga, peringkat, atau saran.
The indicators a risk officer, supervisor or ministry of finance reads first on financial economics for capital markets.
| Indikator | Unit | Siapa yang membaca | Kerangka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasio CET1 | % aset tertimbang menurut risiko | Bank, otoritas pengawas | Kerangka Basel |
| Rasio kecukupan likuiditas | % arus keluar dalam tekanan | Bank, bank sentral | Kerangka Basel |
| Rasio solvabilitas | % persyaratan modal solvabilitas | Perusahaan asuransi, otoritas pengawas | IAIS Insurance Core Principles |
| Rasio gabungan | % premi yang diperoleh | Perusahaan asuransi | Praktik aktuaria |
| Kesenjangan perlindungan | porsi kerugian ekonomi yang tidak diasuransikan | Perusahaan asuransi, kementerian keuangan | Statistik kerugian yang diterbitkan |
| Utang publik | % PDB | Kementerian keuangan, IMF | Kerangka Keberlanjutan Utang |
| Kebutuhan pembiayaan bruto | % PDB per tahun | Kementerian keuangan, investor | Kerangka Keberlanjutan Utang |
Datasets and records used by financial economics and macro-finance on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in register sumber.
| Data | Peran | Label |
|---|---|---|
| Government bond yields and swap rates | Yield curve and term premium estimation | TERAMATI |
| Corporate bond prices and spreads | Credit spread decomposition | TERAMATI |
| Financial accounts by sector | Sector balance sheets and leverage | Statistik yang diterbitkan |
| Equity returns of financial institutions | Market-based risiko sistemik measures | TERAMATI |
Process explorer · Process
10 steps·4 tahap
Proses
PRISMA 2020 adalah pedoman pelaporan untuk tinjauan sistematis; langkah-langkahnya mengikuti daftar periksanya, bukan urutan yang diwajibkan, dan tidak ada dokumen Nexus yang mengadopsinya.
LaporanOutline of an externally published reporting guideline, not a Nexus process and not a record of operation. PRISMA 2020 mainly covers reviews of intervention effects. No Nexus page names it. Every programme is at service level R0.
Models are back-tested against historical market episodes and crises. Results are compared with supervisory data and alternative specifications.
| Pemeriksaan | Cara pelaksanaannya |
|---|---|
| Out-of-sample stress testing | Models are fitted on one period and tested on stress episodes not used in estimation |
| Specification comparison | Term premium and spread decompositions are compared across model specifications and the range is reported |
| Reconciliation with supervisory data | Market-based estimates are compared with published supervisory aggregates where they exist |
Relationships estimated in calm periods may break down in stress. Hidden leverage and interconnections are often unobserved.
Stabilitas Keuangan stewards financial economics and macro-finance for the Consortium and reviews how it is applied across platforms.
Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
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