Yield curve and spread decomposition
Government yields are split into expected short rates and term premia with affine term structure models, and credit spreads into expected loss and risk premia, so a repricing can be read by its source.
GRA · Capital Markets Nexus
Spatial financeDonde el capital se encuentra con la amenaza, la exposición y la transición
Financial economics explains how prices, risk premia and balance sheets turn shocks into market moves. In capital markets it is used to decompose yields and spreads, to model how leverage and margin amplify selling, and to trace how stress in one asset class reaches others, with each estimate’s assumptions and label stated.
Financial economics and macro-finance study how asset prices, credit and financial institutions interact with the real economy. They explain how shocks are amplified or absorbed through balance sheets and markets. In capital markets and investment and financial stability, financial economics traces how physical, health or cyber shocks transmit to credit, sovereign debt and markets. It informs macroprudential policy and the pricing of risk. The canonical description is on el bien común CTIM.
Government yields are split into expected short rates and term premia with affine term structure models, and credit spreads into expected loss and risk premia, so a repricing can be read by its source.
Balance sheet models trace how a price fall raises margins and haircuts, forces sales by leveraged holders and pushes prices further, with the behavioural assumptions written down.
Measures such as conditional value at risk and marginal expected shortfall describe which institutions contribute most to system-wide stress, reported as estimates with their sample periods.
Las vistas de exposición, pérdida, escenarios y capital que pediría un responsable de riesgos, un supervisor o un ministerio de finanzas, con los marcos con arreglo a los cuales informan. Las estructuras siguen la práctica supervisora y actuarial. Los valores son ilustrativos: nunca precios, calificaciones ni asesoramiento.
The indicators a risk officer, supervisor or ministry of finance reads first on financial economics for capital markets.
| Indicador | Unidad | Quién lo lee | Marco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ratio CET1 | % de los activos ponderados por riesgo | Bancos, supervisores | Marco de Basilea |
| Ratio de cobertura de liquidez | % de las salidas en situación de estrés | Bancos, bancos centrales | Marco de Basilea |
| Ratio de solvencia | % del capital de solvencia obligatorio | Aseguradoras, supervisores | Principios Básicos de Seguros de la IAIS |
| Ratio combinado | % de la prima devengada | Aseguradoras | Práctica actuarial |
| Brecha de protección | proporción no asegurada de la pérdida económica | Aseguradoras, ministerios de finanzas | Estadísticas de pérdidas publicadas |
| Deuda pública | % del PIB | Ministerios de finanzas, FMI | Marco de sostenibilidad de la deuda |
| Necesidades brutas de financiación | % del PIB por año | Ministerios de finanzas, inversionistas | Marco de sostenibilidad de la deuda |
Datasets and records used by financial economics and macro-finance on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in el registro de fuentes.
| Datos | Función | Etiqueta |
|---|---|---|
| Government bond yields and swap rates | Yield curve and term premium estimation | OBSERVADO |
| Corporate bond prices and spreads | Credit spread decomposition | OBSERVADO |
| Financial accounts by sector | Sector balance sheets and leverage | Estadísticas publicadas |
| Equity returns of financial institutions | Market-based riesgo sistémico measures | OBSERVADO |
Process explorer · Process
10 steps·4 etapas
Proceso
PRISMA 2020 es una directriz de comunicación para revisiones sistemáticas; los pasos siguen su lista de verificación, no una secuencia obligatoria, y ningún documento de Nexus la adopta.
InformesOutline of an externally published reporting guideline, not a Nexus process and not a record of operation. PRISMA 2020 mainly covers reviews of intervention effects. No Nexus page names it. Every programme is at service level R0.
Models are back-tested against historical market episodes and crises. Results are compared with supervisory data and alternative specifications.
| Verificación | Cómo se hace |
|---|---|
| Out-of-sample stress testing | Models are fitted on one period and tested on stress episodes not used in estimation |
| Specification comparison | Term premium and spread decompositions are compared across model specifications and the range is reported |
| Reconciliation with supervisory data | Market-based estimates are compared with published supervisory aggregates where they exist |
Relationships estimated in calm periods may break down in stress. Hidden leverage and interconnections are often unobserved.
Estabilidad financiera stewards financial economics and macro-finance for the Consortium and reviews how it is applied across platforms.
Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
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