Skip to content

GRA · Climate and Nature Financial Risk

Spatial financeWhere capital meets hazard, exposure and transition

Analysis and uncertainty

Climate and nature financial risk methods translate hazard, policy and ecosystem change into financial variables: asset-level physical risk, sector transition pathways, damage functions, dependency mapping and portfolio aggregation. This page states what each method assumes and where measurement gaps, notably in damage functions and nature data, are largest.

Pirsek bike Back to Professional research
01Qada xebatê

The workspace for analysis and uncertainty.

Evidence grading

Analysis and uncertainty · Review wave 2 · Example interface, not a record

Two sources downgradedGRA · Climate and Nature Financial Risk

Certainty by criterion

0 low to 100 high

Higher is more certain. Values are examples.

Review queue

  1. R-1Financed emissionssecond reviewer4 d
  2. R-2Exposure to high physical risksecond reviewer3 d
  3. R-3Expected loss uplift, disorderlysecond reviewer6 d
Evidence grading.Navrûyeke ronîker; ne daneya zindî ye.

Climate and Nature Financial Risk · Evidence grading. Evidence grading: example names and illustrative values, not a record.

02Rêbaz

The methods in use.

  1. Zanista avhewa û atmosferêHazard projections for portfolios · Tail and compound hazards · Scenario physical variablesApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  2. Zanista ekolojî û cûrbecûrbûna jîndaranEcosystem service dependency · Ecosystem condition at asset sites · Thresholds and regime shiftsApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  3. Sêwirandina senaryoyan û ceribandina bin zextêTranslating NGFS scenarios · Short-term climate scenarios · Dynamic balance sheetsApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  4. Aboriya fînansî û makro-fînansCredit risk transmission · Market pricing studies · Cross-sector transmissionApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  5. Statîstîka cihî û jeostatîstîkGeolocating exposures · Aggregating location risk · Resolution sensitivityApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
03Top-down and bottom-up climate

Top-down and bottom-up climate risk.

NêzîkatîHowSînor
Top-down macroScenario GDP and sector variables mapped to portfolio risk parametersHides location and asset detail
Bottom-up asset-levelHazard at each asset through damage functionsCoverage and vulnerability data
TevlihevAsset-level physical, sector-level transitionConsistency between the two
04Pêvajo

Pêvajo çawa dimeşe.

Process explorer · Process

Analysis and uncertainty: PRISMA 2020 review reporting

10 steps4 qonax

Pêvajo

Analysis and uncertainty: PRISMA 2020 review reporting

PRISMA 2020 is a reporting guideline for systematic reviews; the steps follow its checklist, not a mandated sequence, and no Nexus document adopts it.

  1. 01 Plan

    1. 01Registration and protocolRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for registration details, access to the protocol and any amendments.
    2. 02Eligibility criteriaRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for the inclusion and exclusion criteria and how studies were grouped.

  2. 02 Find and select

    1. 03Search: sources and strategiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the information sources and the full search strategies. It does not fix which sources are used.
    2. 04Selection of studiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how studies were judged eligible, including how many reviewers screened. It does not fix the number of reviewers.
    3. 05Flow diagramTomarThe flow diagram shows the number of records found, the number of studies included and the reasons for exclusion.

  3. 03 Analyse

    1. 06Data collectionStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how data were collected from reports and which data items were sought.
    2. 07Risk of biasStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods and tools used to assess risk of bias.
    3. 08SynthesisModel · The review teamThe guideline asks for the effect measures and the synthesis methods. It does not prescribe meta-analysis.
    4. 09Bawerî bi delîlanStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods used to assess certainty, and reports the result per outcome. It does not name a grading scale.

  4. 04 Report

    1. 10Review reportTomarThe guideline helps authors report why the review was done, what they did and what they found.

rêzeya Pergalên StratejîkOutline of an externally published reporting guideline, not a Nexus process and not a record of operation. PRISMA 2020 mainly covers reviews of intervention effects. No Nexus page names it. Every programme is at service level R0.

05Spatial statistics

Hazard at the right resolution.

Asset-level work depends on hazard resolution and on joining correctly: a coarse flood grid can misclassify assets near river channels. Methods at GCRI spatial statistics; measurement gaps at model and measurement gaps.

06Nediyarî

How uncertainty is reported.

  1. 01

    State assumptions

    Each analysis lists its assumptions and the data it depends on.

  2. 02

    Quantify where possible

    Ranges and confidence are reported alongside central estimates.

  3. 03

    Validate and compare

    Models are checked against observations and, where possible, against other models.

  4. 04

    Publish limits

    What an analysis cannot show is stated beside what it can.

07Çavkanî

Where this page’s references lead.

Sazî û belgeyên ku ev rûpel li hember wan tê xwendin. Rewş û çap diguherin; her girêdan diçe ba saziya derxistinê.

08Pirs

Pirs û bersiv.

Are the methods open?
Method descriptions are public on the STEM Commons. Code and data follow their own licences and access terms, listed in the source register.
rêzeya Pergalên StratejîkTevkarî bike

Ji vê rûpelê delîl bidin.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

Global Risks AllianceXetera fînansî ya avhewa û xwezayêAmadebûna fînans û sîgortayêSenaryo û ceribandina stresê

Tu carî daneyên şexsî, hûrgiliyên binesaza hesas an tiştekî ku mafê we yê parvekirinê tune ne neşînin. Beşdarî berî bikaranînê tê nirxandin; şandina wê nivîskarî an mafên edîtorî nade û sponsorî tu carî encamekê nakire.

Xetera fînansî ya avhewa û xwezayê

Bring an exposure or capital question to the Alliance.

Agahî û pirs îro vekirî ne. Pirsek referansekê distîne û gava piştî wê dide nasîn; serlêdan, drav, veqetandina hesabkirinê û tomarkirin tenê dema ku tîm, mercên wê û kapasîteya vekolînê hebin vedibin.

Propose a readiness pilot Hemû rêyên têkiliyê bibînin
Hiqûqî

Nexşe, dane û jimarên vê malperê ji bo çarçoveyê û agahiyên giştî têne nîşandan. Ew ne şîret, ne pêşbînî û ne hişyarî ne; sînorên agahiyê di Daxuyaniyên Berpirsiyariyê û Daxuyaniyên Daneyê de hatine diyarkirin.