Skip to content

GRA · Climate and Nature Financial Risk

Spatial financeWhere capital meets hazard, exposure and transition

Analysis and uncertainty

Climate and nature financial risk methods translate hazard, policy and ecosystem change into financial variables: asset-level physical risk, sector transition pathways, damage functions, dependency mapping and portfolio aggregation. This page states what each method assumes and where measurement gaps, notably in damage functions and nature data, are largest.

پرسیارێک بنێرە Back to Professional research
01شوێنی کار

The workspace for analysis and uncertainty.

Evidence grading

Analysis and uncertainty · Review wave 2 · Example interface, not a record

Two sources downgradedGRA · Climate and Nature Financial Risk

Certainty by criterion

0 low to 100 high

Higher is more certain. Values are examples.

Review queue

  1. R-1Financed emissionssecond reviewer4 d
  2. R-2Exposure to high physical risksecond reviewer3 d
  3. R-3Expected loss uplift, disorderlysecond reviewer6 d
Evidence grading.ڕووکاری نموونەیی؛ داتای ڕاستەوخۆ نییە.

Climate and Nature Financial Risk · Evidence grading. Evidence grading: example names and illustrative values, not a record.

02ڕێگاکان

The methods in use.

  1. زانستی کەشوهەوا و هەواگۆڕHazard projections for portfolios · Tail and compound hazards · Scenario physical variablesApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  2. زانستی ئیکۆلۆژی و فرەجۆریی زیندەوەریEcosystem service dependency · Ecosystem condition at asset sites · Thresholds and regime shiftsApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  3. دیزاینی سیناریۆ و تاقیکردنەوەی گوشارTranslating NGFS scenarios · Short-term climate scenarios · Dynamic balance sheetsApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  4. ئابووریی دارایی و دارایی گەورەCredit risk transmission · Market pricing studies · Cross-sector transmissionApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  5. ئاماری شوێنی و جیۆئامارGeolocating exposures · Aggregating location risk · Resolution sensitivityApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
03Top-down and bottom-up climate

Top-down and bottom-up climate risk.

ڕێبازHowسنوور
Top-down macroScenario GDP and sector variables mapped to portfolio risk parametersHides location and asset detail
Bottom-up asset-levelHazard at each asset through damage functionsCoverage and vulnerability data
تێکەڵAsset-level physical, sector-level transitionConsistency between the two
04پرۆسە

چۆن پرۆسەکە کار دەکات.

Process explorer · Process

Analysis and uncertainty: PRISMA 2020 review reporting

10 steps4 قۆناغ

پرۆسە

Analysis and uncertainty: PRISMA 2020 review reporting

PRISMA 2020 is a reporting guideline for systematic reviews; the steps follow its checklist, not a mandated sequence, and no Nexus document adopts it.

  1. 01 Plan

    1. 01Registration and protocolRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for registration details, access to the protocol and any amendments.
    2. 02Eligibility criteriaRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for the inclusion and exclusion criteria and how studies were grouped.

  2. 02 Find and select

    1. 03Search: sources and strategiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the information sources and the full search strategies. It does not fix which sources are used.
    2. 04Selection of studiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how studies were judged eligible, including how many reviewers screened. It does not fix the number of reviewers.
    3. 05Flow diagramتۆمارThe flow diagram shows the number of records found, the number of studies included and the reasons for exclusion.

  3. 03 Analyse

    1. 06Data collectionStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how data were collected from reports and which data items were sought.
    2. 07Risk of biasStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods and tools used to assess risk of bias.
    3. 08SynthesisModel · The review teamThe guideline asks for the effect measures and the synthesis methods. It does not prescribe meta-analysis.
    4. 09دڵنیاییی بەڵگەStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods used to assess certainty, and reports the result per outcome. It does not name a grading scale.

  4. 04 Report

    1. 10Review reportتۆمارThe guideline helps authors report why the review was done, what they did and what they found.

ReportsOutline of an externally published reporting guideline, not a Nexus process and not a record of operation. PRISMA 2020 mainly covers reviews of intervention effects. No Nexus page names it. Every programme is at service level R0.

05Spatial statistics

Hazard at the right resolution.

Asset-level work depends on hazard resolution and on joining correctly: a coarse flood grid can misclassify assets near river channels. Methods at GCRI spatial statistics; measurement gaps at model and measurement gaps.

06نادڵنیایی

How uncertainty is reported.

  1. 01

    State assumptions

    Each analysis lists its assumptions and the data it depends on.

  2. 02

    Quantify where possible

    Ranges and confidence are reported alongside central estimates.

  3. 03

    Validate and compare

    Models are checked against observations and, where possible, against other models.

  4. 04

    Publish limits

    What an analysis cannot show is stated beside what it can.

07سەرچاوەکان

Where this page’s references lead.

ئەو لەش و بەڵگەنامانەی ئەم لاپەڕەیەیان لەگەڵ دەخوێنرێتەوە. دۆخ و وەشانەکان دەگۆڕێن؛ هەر بەستەرێک دەچێتە لای لەشی دەرکەر.

08پرسیارەکان

پرسیار و وەڵام.

Are the methods open?
Method descriptions are public on the STEM Commons. Code and data follow their own licences and access terms, listed in the source register.
Reportsبەشداربە

لەم لاپەڕەیەوە بەڵگە پێشکەش بکە.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

Global Risks Allianceمەترسیی داراییی کەشوهەوا و سروشتئامادەیی دارایی و بیمەسیناریۆ و تاقیکردنەوەی گوشار

هەرگیز داتای کەسی، وردەکاریی هەستیاری ژێرخان یان هیچ شتێک مەنێرە کە مافی بڵاوکردنەوەت نییە. بەشدارییەک پێش بەکارهێنان پێداچوونەوەی بۆ دەکرێت؛ ناردنی ماف نابەخشێت بە نووسەرایەتی یان بەڕێوەبردنی ڕاگەیاندن، و پاڵپشتی دارایی هەرگیز دۆزینەوەیەک ناکڕێت.

مەترسیی داراییی کەشوهەوا و سروشت

Bring an exposure or capital question to the Alliance.

زانیاری و پرسیار ئەمڕۆ کراوەن. پرسیارێک ژمارەی ئاماژەی پێدەدرێت و هەنگاوی دواتر دیاری دەکات؛ داواکاری، پارەدان، تەرخانکردنی کۆمپیوتەر و تۆمارکردن تەنیا کاتێک دەکرێنەوە کە تیم، مەرج و توانای پێداچوونەوەیان هەبێت.

Propose a readiness pilot بینینی هەموو ڕێگاکانی پەیوەندی
یاسایی

نەخشە، داتا و وێنەکانی ئەم ماڵپەڕە بۆ ناوەڕۆک و زانیاریی گشتی پیشان دراون. ئامۆژگاری، پێشبینی یان ئاگادارکردنەوە نین؛ سنوورەکانی زانیارییەکە لە ڕەتکردنەوەی بەرپرسیارێتی و ئاگاداریی داتادا دەستنیشان کراون.