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GRA · ریسک مالی اقلیم و طبیعت

مالی فضاییجایی که سرمایه به مخاطره، مواجهه و گذار برمی‌خورد

تحلیل و عدم قطعیت

Climate and nature financial risk methods translate hazard, policy and ecosystem change into financial variables: asset-level physical risk, sector transition pathways, damage functions, dependency mapping and portfolio aggregation. This page states what each method assumes and where measurement gaps, notably in damage functions and nature data, are largest.

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01فضای کار

The workspace for analysis and uncertainty.

Evidence grading

Analysis and uncertainty · Review wave 2 · Example interface, not a record

Two sources downgradedGRA · ریسک مالی اقلیم و طبیعت

Certainty by criterion

0 low to 100 high

Higher is more certain. Values are examples.

Review queue

  1. R-1Financed emissionssecond reviewer4 d
  2. R-2Exposure to high physical risksecond reviewer3 d
  3. R-3Expected loss uplift, disorderlysecond reviewer6 d
Evidence grading.رابط تصویری؛ داده‌های زنده نیست.

Climate and Nature Financial Risk · Evidence grading. Evidence grading: example names and illustrative values, not a record.

02روش‌ها

The methods in use.

  1. علوم اقلیم و جوHazard projections for portfolios · Tail and compound hazards · Scenario physical variablesApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  2. علوم بوم‌شناسی و تنوع زیستیEcosystem service dependency · Ecosystem condition at asset sites · Thresholds and regime shiftsApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  3. طراحی سناریو و آزمون تنشTranslating NGFS scenarios · Short-term climate scenarios · Dynamic balance sheetsApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  4. اقتصاد مالی و مالیهٔ کلانCredit risk transmission · Market pricing studies · Cross-sector transmissionApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
  5. آمار مکانی و زمین‌آمارGeolocating exposures · Aggregating location risk · Resolution sensitivityApplied here
    Canonical · STEM Commons
03Top-down and bottom-up climate

Top-down and bottom-up climate risk.

رویکردچگونهحد
Top-down macroScenario GDP and sector variables mapped to portfolio risk parametersHides location and asset detail
Bottom-up asset-levelHazard at each asset through damage functionsCoverage and vulnerability data
ترکیبیAsset-level physical, sector-level transitionConsistency between the two
04فرایند

نحوهٔ اجرای فرایند.

Process explorer · Process

Analysis and uncertainty: PRISMA 2020 review reporting

10 steps4 مرحله

فرایند

Analysis and uncertainty: PRISMA 2020 review reporting

PRISMA 2020 is a reporting guideline for systematic reviews; the steps follow its checklist, not a mandated sequence, and no Nexus document adopts it.

  1. 01 Plan

    1. 01Registration and protocolRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for registration details, access to the protocol and any amendments.
    2. 02Eligibility criteriaRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for the inclusion and exclusion criteria and how studies were grouped.

  2. 02 Find and select

    1. 03Search: sources and strategiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the information sources and the full search strategies. It does not fix which sources are used.
    2. 04Selection of studiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how studies were judged eligible, including how many reviewers screened. It does not fix the number of reviewers.
    3. 05Flow diagramسابقهThe flow diagram shows the number of records found, the number of studies included and the reasons for exclusion.

  3. 03 Analyse

    1. 06Data collectionStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how data were collected from reports and which data items were sought.
    2. 07Risk of biasStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods and tools used to assess risk of bias.
    3. 08SynthesisModel · The review teamThe guideline asks for the effect measures and the synthesis methods. It does not prescribe meta-analysis.
    4. 09قطعیت شواهدStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods used to assess certainty, and reports the result per outcome. It does not name a grading scale.

  4. 04 Report

    1. 10Review reportسابقهThe guideline helps authors report why the review was done, what they did and what they found.

گزارش‌هاOutline of an externally published reporting guideline, not a Nexus process and not a record of operation. PRISMA 2020 mainly covers reviews of intervention effects. No Nexus page names it. Every programme is at service level R0.

05Spatial statistics

Hazard at the right resolution.

Asset-level work depends on hazard resolution and on joining correctly: a coarse flood grid can misclassify assets near river channels. Methods at GCRI spatial statistics; measurement gaps at model and measurement gaps.

06عدم قطعیت

How uncertainty is reported.

  1. 01

    State assumptions

    Each analysis lists its assumptions and the data it depends on.

  2. 02

    Quantify where possible

    Ranges and confidence are reported alongside central estimates.

  3. 03

    Validate and compare

    Models are checked against observations and, where possible, against other models.

  4. 04

    Publish limits

    What an analysis cannot show is stated beside what it can.

07منابع

Where this page’s references lead.

نهادها و اسنادی که این صفحه بر پایهٔ آن‌ها خوانده می‌شود. وضعیت و ویراست‌ها تغییر می‌کنند؛ هر پیوند به نهاد صادرکننده می‌رود.

08پرسش‌ها

پرسش و پاسخ.

Are the methods open?
Method descriptions are public on the STEM Commons. Code and data follow their own licences and access terms, listed in the source register.
گزارش‌هامشارکت

از این صفحه شواهد مشارکت دهید.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

⁨Global Risks Alliance⁩ریسک مالی اقلیم و طبیعتآمادگی مالی و بیمهسناریو و آزمون تنش

هرگز داده شخصی، جزئیات حساس زیرساخت یا چیزی را که حق اشتراکش را ندارید نفرستید. هر مشارکت پیش از استفاده داوری می‌شود؛ ارسال آن حق مؤلفی یا ویرایشی نمی‌دهد و حمایت مالی هرگز یافته‌ای را نمی‌خرد.

ریسک مالی اقلیم و طبیعت

یک پرسش دربارهٔ مواجهه یا سرمایه را نزد اتحاد مطرح کنید.

اطلاعات و درخواست‌ها امروز باز است. هر درخواست یک شمارهٔ پیگیری می‌گیرد و گام بعدی را مشخص می‌کند؛ درخواست‌های عضویت، پرداخت‌ها، تخصیص رایانش و ثبت‌نام‌ها تنها زمانی باز می‌شوند که تیم، شرایط و ظرفیت داوری آن‌ها فراهم باشد.

یک آزمایش آمادگی پیشنهاد دهید دیدن همهٔ مسیرهای تماس
حقوقی

نقشه‌ها، داده‌ها و ارقام این سایت برای زمینه و اطلاعات عمومی نشان داده می‌شوند. توصیه، پیش‌بینی یا هشدار نیستند؛ حدود این اطلاعات در سلب مسئولیت‌ها و اعلامیه‌های داده بیان شده است.