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مالی فضاییجایی که سرمایه به مخاطره، مواجهه و گذار برمی‌خورد

سناریوهای منتشرشده

Private credit scenarios test borrowers and structures under rate rises, refinancing walls, sector downturns and physical events, and test funds under redemption and leverage pressure. This page sets out scenario designs and their key assumptions. Values are design values.

02وضعیت

Releases appear as they are reviewed.

Analysis runs in ⁨Foundry⁩; reviewed releases are listed here.

03Scenario design

Stress for a private credit sector.

شوکChannel
Rates stay highInterest coverage falls; payment-in-kind use rises
Sector downturn in a concentrated industryCorrelated defaults
Bank lenders cut fund leverageFunds sell or stop lending
Physical event at borrowers’ sitesRevenue loss and repair cost
04فرایند

نحوهٔ اجرای فرایند.

Process explorer · Process

Published scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

10 steps4 مرحله

فرایند

Published scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

In IPCC AR6 Working Group II, climate risk results from interactions between hazards and a system’s exposure and vulnerability, and responses can add risk.

  1. 01 Drivers

    1. 01مخاطرهDataset · Portfolio managerThe potential occurrence of a natural or human-induced physical event or trend that may harm people, property, services or ecosystems.
    2. 02مواجههDataset · Portfolio managerThe presence of people, livelihoods, species, ecosystems, infrastructure or assets in places and settings that could be adversely affected.
    3. 03حساسیتDataset · Portfolio managerThe degree to which a system or species is affected, either adversely or beneficially, by climate variability or change.
    4. 04Capacity to cope and adaptDataset · Portfolio managerThe ability of سامانه‌ها, institutions, humans and other organisms to adjust to damage, take opportunities or respond to consequences.
  2. 02 ارزیابی

    1. 05Risk from responsesComponent · Portfolio managerRisks from climate responses arise when responses miss their objectives, or from trade-offs or negative side effects.
    2. 06آسیب‌پذیریComponent · Portfolio managerThe propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected. It includes sensitivity to harm and lack of capacity to cope and adapt.
    3. 07ریسکModel · Private CreditRisk results from dynamic interactions between hazards and the system’s exposure and vulnerability. Each may be uncertain and change.
  3. 03 Response

    1. 08Risk management and responseStep · Portfolio managerRisk management is plans, actions, strategies or policies that reduce the likelihood or size of adverse consequences.
    2. 09ریسک باقیماندهRecord · Portfolio managerThe climate impact risk that remains after adaptation and mitigation efforts. Adaptation can redistribute risk between areas and groups.
  4. 04 Decision

    1. 10Decision by the responsible partyDecision · Portfolio managerThe framing names no single decision maker. Decisions on responses rest with the responsible party under its own rules.

Outline of an external standard or method, from its public sources. It describes what the framework says, not a record of any run. It does not show that Nexus or any partner performs, certifies or approves a step. A gate is a step of the method, never a Nexus approval.

05مالی فضایی

Assets on the grid.

Placing hypothetical borrowers’ sites on hazard layers shows how much of a loan book is exposed to one event. Methods at GCRI scenario stress; topic depth at stress scenario methods.

06منابع

Where this page’s references lead.

نهادها و اسنادی که این صفحه بر پایهٔ آن‌ها خوانده می‌شود. وضعیت و ویراست‌ها تغییر می‌کنند؛ هر پیوند به نهاد صادرکننده می‌رود.

07پرسش‌ها

پرسش و پاسخ.

Can I request a map or model?
نامه بنویسید به فرم تماس with what you need and why.
گزارش‌هامشارکت

از این صفحه شواهد مشارکت دهید.

گزارش‌ها is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

⁨Global Risks Alliance⁩اعتبار خصوصیآمادگی مالی و بیمهسناریو و آزمون تنش
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