Spatial financeWhere capital meets hazard, exposure and transition
Econometrics for asset management
Econometrics estimates relationships from market and fund data: how flows respond to performance, how prices respond to disclosure and votes, how ratings relate to outcomes. In asset management it supplies the empirical evidence behind each mechanism, and its main risks are confounding, selection and relationships that change under stress.
Econometrics applies statistical methods to economic data to estimate relationships, test theories and forecast. It provides empirical evidence on how shocks and policies affect economic outcomes. In capital markets and investment, climate and hazards and biodiversity and nature, econometric evidence estimates how disasters, pandemics and financial shocks affect output, employment and prices. It informs the economic case forrisk reduction. The canonical description is onthe STEM Commons.
Flow and price pressure estimation
Panel models relate fund flows to past returns, fees and market conditions, and test whether outflows predict price pressure in the assets those funds hold.
Event studies of stewardship and disclosure
Abnormal returns and later company disclosures around votes, engagements and new reporting rules are estimated against matched controls, to separate the event from wider news.
Rating divergence analysis
Ratings from several providers are decomposed into differences of scope, weight and measurement to explain why they disagree about the same companies.
03Exposure, loss and capital
What econometrics for asset management means for exposure, loss and capital.
The exposure, loss, scenario and capital views a risk officer, supervisor or ministry of finance would ask for, with the frameworks they report against. Structures follow supervisory and actuarial practice. Values are illustrative: never prices, ratings or advice.
Scenario pathways
How econometrics for asset management could be stressed under the scenario families central banks and supervisors use.
Scenario family
Transition risk
Physical risk
What a stress test asks
Orderly
Early, gradual policy
Kêmtir
Can the book absorb a steady repricing?
Disorderly
Late, abrupt policy
Lower to medium
What breaks under a sudden repricing and credit migration?
Hot house world
Limited policy
High and rising
Where do physical losses concentrate in collateral and insurance?
Scenario families as defined by the NGFS; the curves are an illustrative combined pressure index, not NGFS variables or forecasts.
NGFS climate scenarios · Network for Greening the Financial SystemIFRS S2 Climate-related Disclosures · ISSBTCFD recommendations · Financial Stability Board TCFDPrinciples for the effective management of climate-related financial risks · Basel Committee on Banking Supervision
04Dane
What the method consumes.
Datasets and records used by econometrics on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed inthe source register.
Dane
Rol
Nîşan
Fund flow and return panels
Investor behaviour estimation
REPORTED
Voting and engagement records
Stewardship event studies
REPORTED
Vendor ESG ratings
Divergence and outcome studies
TEXMÎNKIRÎ
Market prices and returns
Abnormal return estimation
ÇAVDÊRÎKIRÎ
05Pêvajo
Pêvajo çawa dimeşe.
Process explorer · Process
Econometrics for asset management: PRISMA 2020 review reporting
10 steps·4 qonax
Pêvajo
Econometrics for asset management: PRISMA 2020 review reporting
PRISMA 2020 is a reporting guideline for systematic reviews; the steps follow its checklist, not a mandated sequence, and no Nexus document adopts it.
01 Plan
01Registration and protocolRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for registration details, access to the protocol and any amendments.
02Eligibility criteriaRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for the inclusion and exclusion criteria and how studies were grouped.
02 Find and select
03Search: sources and strategiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the information sources and the full search strategies. It does not fix which sources are used.
04Selection of studiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how studies were judged eligible, including how many reviewers screened. It does not fix the number of reviewers.
05Flow diagramTomarThe flow diagram shows the number of records found, the number of studies included and the reasons for exclusion.
03 Analyse
06Data collectionStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how data were collected from reports and which data items were sought.
07Risk of biasStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods and tools used to assess risk of bias.
08SynthesisModel · The review teamThe guideline asks for the effect measures and the synthesis methods. It does not prescribe meta-analysis.
09Bawerî bi delîlanStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods used to assess certainty, and reports the result per outcome. It does not name a grading scale.
04 Report
10Review reportTomarThe guideline helps authors report why the review was done, what they did and what they found.
rêzeya Pergalên StratejîkOutline of an externally published reporting guideline, not a Nexus process and not a record of operation. PRISMA 2020 mainly covers reviews of intervention effects. No Nexus page names it. Every programme is at service level R0.
06Erêkirin
How results are checked.
Models are assessed through specification tests, robustness checks and out-of-sample performance. Results are compared across datasets and methods.
Kontrol bikin
How it is done
Identification review
Each causal claim names its identification strategy and the threats to it
Out-of-sample and sub-period tests
Relationships are tested on held-out periods, stress periods included
Robustness across data sources
Results are re-estimated on alternative vendors, samples and definitions
Endogeneity, measurement error and structural change can bias estimates. Relationships may shift under extreme conditions.
What are the limits of econometrics in this field?
Endogeneity, measurement error and structural change can bias estimates. Relationships may shift under extreme conditions.
How are results checked?
Models are assessed through specification tests, robustness checks and out-of-sample performance. Results are compared across datasets and methods.
Are the values on this page real?
The data names, roles and checks are real descriptions of practice. The canvas shows a design of the method’s use, not a run; no result is reported here.
Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
Global Risks AllianceAsset Management NexusAmadebûna fînans û sîgortayêSenaryo û ceribandina stresê
Tu carî daneyên şexsî, hûrgiliyên binesaza hesas an tiştekî ku mafê we yê parvekirinê tune ne neşînin. Beşdarî berî bikaranînê tê nirxandin; şandina wê nivîskarî an mafên edîtorî nade û sponsorî tu carî encamekê nakire.
Asset Management Nexus
Bring an exposure or capital question to the Alliance.
Agahî û pirs îro vekirî ne. Pirsek referansekê distîne û gava piştî wê dide nasîn; serlêdan, drav, veqetandina hesabkirinê û tomarkirin tenê dema ku tîm, mercên wê û kapasîteya vekolînê hebin vedibin.
Nexşe, dane û jimarên vê malperê ji bo çarçoveyê û agahiyên giştî têne nîşandan. Ew ne şîret, ne pêşbînî û ne hişyarî ne; sînorên agahiyê di Daxuyaniyên Berpirsiyariyê û Daxuyaniyên Daneyê de hatine diyarkirin.
Editors and the expert reviewers named on each article decide what we publish. Funders and partners do not review or approve articles before publication.
This site uses only strictly necessary cookies to work and to remember your privacy choices. Nothing loads from other companies, and we never sell or share your personal information.
Details
This site uses only strictly necessary cookies to work and to remember your privacy choices. Nothing loads from other companies, and we never sell or share your personal information. We run no advertising. You can review your choices at any time through Privacy choices at the foot of every page.