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GRA · Asset Management Nexus

空间金融资本与危害、风险暴露和转型的交汇之处

资产管理计量经济学

Econometrics estimates relationships from market and fund data: how flows respond to performance, how prices respond to disclosure and votes, how ratings relate to outcomes. In asset management it supplies the empirical evidence behind each mechanism, and its main risks are confounding, selection and relationships that change under stress.

01登记

Econometrics for asset management on the record.

方法记录STEM 方法
  1. 方法计量经济学
  2. 管理者经济发展
  3. 应用于Asset Management Nexus
  4. 规范页面STEM 公共资源
02申请

What econometrics does here.

Econometrics applies statistical methods to economic data to estimate relationships, test theories and forecast. It provides empirical evidence on how shocks and policies affect economic outcomes. In capital markets and investment, climate and hazards and biodiversity and nature, econometric evidence estimates how disasters, pandemics and financial shocks affect output, employment and prices. It informs the economic case for 风险削减. The canonical description is on STEM Commons.

Flow and price pressure estimation

Panel models relate fund flows to past returns, fees and market conditions, and test whether outflows predict price pressure in the assets those funds hold.

Event studies of stewardship and disclosure

Abnormal returns and later company disclosures around votes, engagements and new reporting rules are estimated against matched controls, to separate the event from wider news.

Rating divergence analysis

Ratings from several providers are decomposed into differences of scope, weight and measurement to explain why they disagree about the same companies.

03风险暴露、损失与资本

What econometrics for asset management means for exposure, loss and capital.

风险官、监管者或财政部会要求的风险暴露、损失、情景和资本视图,以及它们据以报告的框架。结构遵循监管和精算实务。数值为说明性:绝非价格、评级或建议。

情景路径

How econometrics for asset management could be stressed under the scenario families central banks and supervisors use.

有序无序温室世界202520302035204020452050高低
情景系列转型风险物理风险压力测试问什么
有序早期、渐进的政策较低账面能否承受持续的重新定价?
无序迟缓而突然的政策中低在突然重新定价和信用迁移下,什么会出现问题?
温室世界有限政策高且上升实体损失集中在抵押品和保险的哪些环节?
按 NGFS 定义的情景类别;曲线为示意性的综合压力指数,并非 NGFS 变量或预测。
NGFS 气候情景 · 央行与监管机构绿色金融网络IFRS S2 气候相关披露 · ISSBTCFD 建议 · 金融稳定理事会 TCFD有效管理气候相关金融风险的原则 · 巴塞尔银行监管委员会
04数据

该方法使用的输入。

Datasets and records used by econometrics on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in 来源登记册.

数据角色标签
Fund flow and return panelsInvestor behaviour estimation已报告
Voting and engagement recordsStewardship event studies已报告
Vendor ESG ratingsDivergence and outcome studies估算
Market prices and returnsAbnormal return estimation观测
05流程

流程如何运行。

Process explorer · Process

Econometrics for asset management: PRISMA 2020 review reporting

10 steps4 个阶段

流程

Econometrics for asset management: PRISMA 2020 review reporting

PRISMA 2020 是系统综述的报告指南;各步骤依循其核查清单,而非强制顺序,且没有任何 Nexus 文件采纳它。

  1. 01 Plan

    1. 01注册与协议记录 · 审查团队该指南要求说明注册信息、方案的获取方式以及任何修订。
    2. 02资格标准记录 · 审查团队该指南要求说明纳入与排除标准以及研究的分组方式。
  2. 02 查找与遴选

    1. 03检索:来源与策略步骤 · 审查团队该指南要求说明信息来源与完整的检索策略。它并不规定使用哪些来源。
    2. 04研究的遴选步骤 · 审查团队该指南要求说明如何判定研究符合纳入条件,包括有多少名审查人进行筛选。它并不规定审查人数量。
    3. 05流程图记录流程图显示检索到的记录数量、纳入的研究数量以及排除的理由。
  3. 03 分析

    1. 06数据收集步骤 · 审查团队该指南要求说明如何从报告中收集数据以及寻求了哪些数据项。
    2. 07偏倚风险步骤 · 审查团队该指南要求说明评估偏倚风险所使用的方法与工具。
    3. 08综合模型 · 审查团队该指南要求说明效应量指标与综合方法。它并不规定必须进行荟萃分析。
    4. 09证据的确定性步骤 · 审查团队该指南要求说明评估确定性所用的方法,并按结局报告结果。它并未指定分级量表。
  4. 04 报告

    1. 10审查报告记录该指南帮助作者报告开展综述的原因、所做的工作以及所得的发现。

报告Outline of an externally published reporting guideline, not a Nexus process and not a record of operation. PRISMA 2020 mainly covers reviews of intervention effects. No Nexus page names it. Every programme is at service level R0.

06验证

结果如何核查。

Models are assessed through specification tests, robustness checks and out-of-sample performance. Results are compared across datasets and methods.

核查如何开展
Identification reviewEach causal claim names its identification strategy and the threats to it
Out-of-sample and sub-period testsRelationships are tested on held-out periods, stress periods included
Robustness across data sourcesResults are re-estimated on alternative vendors, samples and definitions

Endogeneity, measurement error and structural change can bias estimates. Relationships may shift under extreme conditions.

08管理责任

由谁维护该方法。

经济发展 stewards econometrics for the Consortium and reviews how it is applied across platforms.

10问题

问题与解答。

What are the limits of econometrics in this field?
Endogeneity, measurement error and structural change can bias estimates. Relationships may shift under extreme conditions.
结果如何核查?
Models are assessed through specification tests, robustness checks and out-of-sample performance. Results are compared across datasets and methods.
本页面上的数值是真实的吗?
The data names, roles and checks are real descriptions of practice. The canvas shows a design of the method’s use, not a run; no result is reported here.
该方法还应用于何处?
维持社会运转的各个 规范方法页面 列出应用该方法的每个平台。
报告贡献

从本页贡献证据。

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

全球风险联盟(Global Risks Alliance)Asset Management Nexus金融与保险准备度情景与压力测试
Asset Management Nexus

向联盟提出风险暴露或资本问题。

信息和咨询现已开放。每项咨询都会获得一个编号,并告知下一步;申请、付款、算力分配和注册只有在相应团队、条款和审查能力就绪时才会开放。