Permanent income and fiscal sustainability
Total resource and financial wealth is converted into a sustainable spending path under stated return and extraction assumptions, giving a benchmark against which budget and fund rules are read.
GRA · Sovereign Capital Nexus
Spatial financeDonde el capital se encuentra con la amenaza, la exposición y la transición
Economics and development economics frame why states hold public wealth and how it serves development: smoothing spending through commodity cycles, sharing resource wealth across generations, financing investment, and weighing the cost of saving against unmet needs today. It also asks who gains and who bears the cost of each rule.
Economics and development economics study how societies produce, distribute and consume resources and how living standards change. They estimate the costs of shocks and the trade-offs among policy responses. In sovereign and public finance and capital markets and investment, economic analysis quantifies indirect losses as shocks spread through supply chains and labour markets. It supports prioritising investment in prevention and recovery. The canonical description is on el bien común CTIM.
Total resource and financial wealth is converted into a sustainable spending path under stated return and extraction assumptions, giving a benchmark against which budget and fund rules are read.
The effect of resource inflows on the real exchange rate and other exports, and the pace at which public investment can be productively absorbed, are assessed together.
Projects of strategic vehicles are appraised for economic return, including spillovers and displacement of private activity, beside the financial return the vehicle reports.
Las vistas de exposición, pérdida, escenarios y capital que pediría un responsable de riesgos, un supervisor o un ministerio de finanzas, con los marcos con arreglo a los cuales informan. Las estructuras siguen la práctica supervisora y actuarial. Los valores son ilustrativos: nunca precios, calificaciones ni asesoramiento.
The indicators a risk officer, supervisor or ministry of finance reads first on economics of public wealth.
| Indicador | Unidad | Quién lo lee | Marco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deuda pública | % del PIB | Ministerios de finanzas, FMI | Marco de sostenibilidad de la deuda |
| Necesidades brutas de financiación | % del PIB por año | Ministerios de finanzas, inversionistas | Marco de sostenibilidad de la deuda |
| Pasivos contingentes | % del PIB, por fuente | Ministerios de finanzas | Declaraciones sobre riesgos fiscales |
| Intereses sobre ingresos | % de los ingresos | Ministerios de finanzas, usuarios de calificaciones | Estadísticas de finanzas públicas |
| Diferencial soberano | puntos básicos sobre un valor de referencia | Inversionistas, gestores de deuda | Datos de mercado |
| Ratio CET1 | % de los activos ponderados por riesgo | Bancos, supervisores | Marco de Basilea |
| Ratio de cobertura de liquidez | % de las salidas en situación de estrés | Bancos, bancos centrales | Marco de Basilea |
Datasets and records used by economics and development economics on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in el registro de fuentes.
| Datos | Función | Etiqueta |
|---|---|---|
| Cuentas nacionales | Growth, investment and sector structure | Estadísticas publicadas |
| Government finance statistics | Revenue, spending and balances | Estadísticas publicadas |
| Commodity prices and production | Drivers of resource revenue | OBSERVADO |
| Population projections | Claims across generations | PRONÓSTICO |
| Project appraisal documents | Economic returns of investments | ESTIMADO |
Process explorer · Process
10 steps·4 etapas
Proceso
PRISMA 2020 es una directriz de comunicación para revisiones sistemáticas; los pasos siguen su lista de verificación, no una secuencia obligatoria, y ningún documento de Nexus la adopta.
InformesOutline of an externally published reporting guideline, not a Nexus process and not a record of operation. PRISMA 2020 mainly covers reviews of intervention effects. No Nexus page names it. Every programme is at service level R0.
Models are assessed against historical episodes and out-of-sample data. Parameter estimates are compared across studies and identification strategies.
| Verificación | Cómo se hace |
|---|---|
| Sensitivity to return and discount assumptions | Spending benchmarks are recomputed across a range of real return and discount rates, and the range is reported |
| Historical counterfactual | Rules and benchmarks are tested against what would have happened under past price cycles |
| Counterfactual transparency | Every estimate of crowding in or economic return states the counterfactual it assumes |
Equilibrium models may understate disruption and nonlinear cascades. Informal economies and non-market losses are poorly measured.
Desarrollo económico stewards economics and development economics for the Consortium and reviews how it is applied across platforms.
Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
No envíe nunca datos personales, detalles sensibles de infraestructura ni nada que no tenga derecho a compartir. Un aporte se revisa antes de su uso; enviarlo no confiere autoría ni derechos editoriales, y el patrocinio nunca compra un hallazgo.
La información y las consultas están abiertas hoy. Una consulta recibe una referencia e indica el siguiente paso; las solicitudes, pagos, asignaciones de cómputo y registros solo se abren cuando existen su equipo, sus condiciones y la capacidad de revisión.
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