Permanent income and fiscal sustainability
Total resource and financial wealth is converted into a sustainable spending path under stated return and extraction assumptions, giving a benchmark against which budget and fund rules are read.
GRA · Sovereign Capital Nexus
Spatial financeWhere capital meets hazard, exposure and transition
Economics of public wealth
Economics and development economics frame why states hold public wealth and how it serves development: smoothing spending through commodity cycles, sharing resource wealth across generations, financing investment, and weighing the cost of saving against unmet needs today. It also asks who gains and who bears the cost of each rule.
01تۆمارکردن
Economics of public wealth on the record.
Method recordSTEM method
- ڕێگائابووری و ئابووری گەشەپێدان
- پارێزەرگەشەپێدانی ئابووری
- Applied inSovereign Capital Nexus
- داتا5 inputs
- Checks3 validation steps
- Canonical pageSTEM Commons
02بەکارهێنان
What economics and development economics does here.
Economics and development economics study how societies produce, distribute and consume resources and how living standards change. They estimate the costs of shocks and the trade-offs among policy responses. In sovereign and public finance and capital markets and investment, economic analysis quantifies indirect losses as shocks spread through supply chains and labour markets. It supports prioritising investment in prevention and recovery. The canonical description is on the STEM Commons.
Dutch disease and absorptive capacity
The effect of resource inflows on the real exchange rate and other exports, and the pace at which public investment can be productively absorbed, are assessed together.
Economic appraisal of strategic investment
Projects of strategic vehicles are appraised for economic return, including spillovers and displacement of private activity, beside the financial return the vehicle reports.
03Exposure, loss and capital
What economics of public wealth means for exposure, loss and capital.
The exposure, loss, scenario and capital views a risk officer, supervisor or ministry of finance would ask for, with the frameworks they report against. Structures follow supervisory and actuarial practice. Values are illustrative: never prices, ratings or advice.
Capital, solvency and fiscal indicators
The indicators a risk officer, supervisor or ministry of finance reads first on economics of public wealth.
| Indicator | Unit | Who reads it | Framework |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public debt | % of GDP | Ministries of finance, IMF | Debt Sustainability Framework |
| Gross financing needs | % of GDP per year | Ministries of finance, investors | Debt Sustainability Framework |
| Contingent liabilities | % of GDP, by source | Ministries of finance | Fiscal risk statements |
| Interest to revenue | % of revenue | Ministries of finance, rating users | Public finance statistics |
| Sovereign spread | basis points over a benchmark | Investors, debt managers | Market data |
| CET1 ratio | % of risk-weighted assets | Banks, supervisors | Basel framework |
| Liquidity coverage ratio | % of stressed outflows | Banks, central banks | Basel framework |
NGFS climate scenarios · Network for Greening the Financial SystemIFRS S2 Climate-related Disclosures · ISSBTCFD recommendations · Financial Stability Board TCFDPrinciples for the effective management of climate-related financial risks · Basel Committee on Banking Supervision
04داتا
What the method consumes.
Datasets and records used by economics and development economics on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in the source register.
| داتا | ڕۆڵ | ناونیشان |
|---|---|---|
| National accounts | Growth, investment and sector structure | ئامارە بڵاوکراوەکان |
| Government finance statistics | Revenue, spending and balances | ئامارە بڵاوکراوەکان |
| Commodity prices and production | Drivers of resource revenue | چاودێریکراو |
| Population projections | Claims across generations | FORECAST |
| Project appraisal documents | Economic returns of investments | مەزەندەکراو |
05پرۆسە
چۆن پرۆسەکە کار دەکات.
Process explorer · Process
Economics of public wealth: PRISMA 2020 review reporting
10 steps·4 قۆناغ
پرۆسە
Economics of public wealth: PRISMA 2020 review reporting
PRISMA 2020 is a reporting guideline for systematic reviews; the steps follow its checklist, not a mandated sequence, and no Nexus document adopts it.
01 Plan
- 01Registration and protocolRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for registration details, access to the protocol and any amendments.
- 02Eligibility criteriaRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for the inclusion and exclusion criteria and how studies were grouped.
02 Find and select
- 03Search: sources and strategiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the information sources and the full search strategies. It does not fix which sources are used.
- 04Selection of studiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how studies were judged eligible, including how many reviewers screened. It does not fix the number of reviewers.
- 05Flow diagramتۆمارThe flow diagram shows the number of records found, the number of studies included and the reasons for exclusion.
03 Analyse
- 06Data collectionStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how data were collected from reports and which data items were sought.
- 07Risk of biasStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods and tools used to assess risk of bias.
- 08SynthesisModel · The review teamThe guideline asks for the effect measures and the synthesis methods. It does not prescribe meta-analysis.
- 09دڵنیاییی بەڵگەStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods used to assess certainty, and reports the result per outcome. It does not name a grading scale.
04 Report
- 10Review reportتۆمارThe guideline helps authors report why the review was done, what they did and what they found.
ReportsOutline of an externally published reporting guideline, not a Nexus process and not a record of operation. PRISMA 2020 mainly covers reviews of intervention effects. No Nexus page names it. Every programme is at service level R0.
06پشتڕاستکردنەوە
How results are checked.
Models are assessed against historical episodes and out-of-sample data. Parameter estimates are compared across studies and identification strategies.
| بپشکنە | How it is done |
|---|---|
| Sensitivity to return and discount assumptions | Spending benchmarks are recomputed across a range of real return and discount rates, and the range is reported |
| Historical counterfactual | Rules and benchmarks are tested against what would have happened under past price cycles |
| Counterfactual transparency | Every estimate of crowding in or economic return states the counterfactual it assumes |
Equilibrium models may understate disruption and nonlinear cascades. Informal economies and non-market losses are poorly measured.
08Stewardship
Who maintains the method.
گەشەپێدانی ئابووری stewards economics and development economics for the Consortium and reviews how it is applied across platforms.
09پەیوەست
ئەو شوێنانەی ئەم لاپەڕەیە لە ناو کۆنسۆرتیۆم بۆیان دەبات.
10پرسیارەکان
پرسیار و وەڵام.
What are the limits of economics and development economics in this field?
Equilibrium models may understate disruption and nonlinear cascades. Informal economies and non-market losses are poorly measured.
How are results checked?
Models are assessed against historical episodes and out-of-sample data. Parameter estimates are compared across studies and identification strategies.
Are the values on this page real?
The data names, roles and checks are real descriptions of practice. The canvas shows a design of the method’s use, not a run; no result is reported here.
Where else is this method applied?
ئەو canonical method page lists every platform that applies it.
Reportsبەشداربە
لەم لاپەڕەیەوە بەڵگە پێشکەش بکە.
Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
Global Risks AllianceSovereign Capital Nexusئامادەیی دارایی و بیمە
- ئیمەیڵGateway GW-GRAلەم لاپەڕەیەوە بینێرەبەڵگە، ڕاستکردنەوە، بابەت، ڕێگا، پێداچوونەوە، وەرگێڕان یان تێکردنی پڕۆفایل. بە نیشانەی ئەم لاپەڕەیە دەگات، بۆ ئەوەی دەستکاریکەری خاوەنەکەی وەریبگرێت.
- Zenodoتەکیەی کراوەدایبنێ و بیدە بە کۆمەڵگاتۆماری خۆت لە Zenodo بە ORCID iD ی خۆت بڵاو بکەرەوە، پاشان لەوێ بیدە بە کۆمەڵگای Reports. سەرپەرشتیارەکان پێداچوونەوەی بۆ دەکەن؛ DOI هەر هی تۆیە.
- ReportsGlobal Risks Allianceهەموو ڕێگاکانی بەشداری ببینەجۆرەکانی بەشداری، هەریەکە چۆن پێداچوونەوەی بۆ دەکرێت، چ ناوبردنێک وەردەگریت، مۆڵەتەکە و ئەوەی هەرگیز وەرناگیرێت.
هەرگیز داتای کەسی، وردەکاریی هەستیاری ژێرخان یان هیچ شتێک مەنێرە کە مافی بڵاوکردنەوەت نییە. بەشدارییەک پێش بەکارهێنان پێداچوونەوەی بۆ دەکرێت؛ ناردنی ماف نابەخشێت بە نووسەرایەتی یان بەڕێوەبردنی ڕاگەیاندن، و پاڵپشتی دارایی هەرگیز دۆزینەوەیەک ناکڕێت.
Sovereign Capital Nexus
Bring an exposure or capital question to the Alliance.
زانیاری و پرسیار ئەمڕۆ کراوەن. پرسیارێک ژمارەی ئاماژەی پێدەدرێت و هەنگاوی دواتر دیاری دەکات؛ داواکاری، پارەدان، تەرخانکردنی کۆمپیوتەر و تۆمارکردن تەنیا کاتێک دەکرێنەوە کە تیم، مەرج و توانای پێداچوونەوەیان هەبێت.
یاسایی
بەڵگەنامە یاساییەکان.
نەخشە، داتا و وێنەکانی ئەم ماڵپەڕە بۆ ناوەڕۆک و زانیاریی گشتی پیشان دراون. ئامۆژگاری، پێشبینی یان ئاگادارکردنەوە نین؛ سنوورەکانی زانیارییەکە لە ڕەتکردنەوەی بەرپرسیارێتی و ئاگاداریی داتادا دەستنیشان کراون.