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GRA · Reinsurance and Catastrophe

Spatial financeWhere capital meets hazard, exposure and transition

تاقیکردنەوە لە Universe

For Universe, which the Global Risks Forum (GRF) governs, Reinsurance and Catastrophe designs a catastrophe model comparison for a hazard season, so pools and supervisors can see how model choice changes a decision.

پرسیارێک بنێرە Back to Reinsurance and Catastrophe
01زنجیرە

ئەو ڕیزبەندییەی شتەکان تێیدا ڕوودەدەن.

  1. 01پرسیارئەولەویەتی نیشتمانی، ناوچەیی یان دامەزراوەیی
  2. 02بەڵگەبنەمای STEM بۆ پلاتفۆرمەکە
  3. 03بنیاتنانFoundry
  4. 04ڕێکخستنئەکۆسیستەمی Nexus
  5. 05تاقیکردنەوەUniverse (ماڵپەڕی سەربەخۆ)
  6. 06بڵاوکردنەوەReports
  7. 07بڕیارداندەسەڵات و دامەزراوە تایبەتمەندەکان، لە ڕێگەی NXS-RLS (بەشداربووان، ڕێککەوتن و دەستبەدەستکردن)
  8. 08نوێکردنەوەڕاستکردنەوەکان و ئەجێندای ساڵانەی داهاتوو
02شەش کۆڵەکە

Universe among the six pillars.

Where everything comes together in the annual programme, with the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), GRF and the Global Risks Alliance (GRA) each contributing in its role and capacity. It is led by the Nexus Consortium; its home is universe.nexus.

کۆڵەکەکان هەڵبژێرە · بەسەر هێڵەکاندا ڕابوەستە16 / 18 ڕادەستکردنەوە

ڕێڕەو

دەوروبەری Universe

ئەو کۆڵەکانەی Universe کار بۆیان دەنێرێت و لێیانەوە وەری دەگرێت.

L · F · U · S · R · A

کۆڵەکەکان
5 لە 6
دەستبەدەستکردنەکان
16 لە 18
خولەکان
16 داخراو

دەستبەدەستکردنی لە کاردا

  • F01Universe → Foundry · ئەرکی قبووڵکراو دەبێتە پڕۆژەی خول لەگەڵ کەیسی بڕیارئامادەکاری بۆ ئامادەیی
  • F02Foundry → Universe · Core Build Report و بەڵگەی بەردەوامبوون یان وەستانبنیاتنانی کۆنترۆڵکراو
  • F03Foundry → Reports · چاودێری داخراو و زنجیرەی نیشاندەر لە پشت پڕۆفایلێکداخستنی پڕۆژە
  • F04Universe → Reports · دۆزینەوەی دوای کار و سیناریۆ بۆ بەشەکانی 10 و 13پێداچوونەوەی دوای کار

و 12 دانەی دیکە

F01 تا F14 دەستبەدەستکردنە تۆمارکراوەکانی ساڵی پڕۆگرامن، هەر یەکە لەگەڵ ئارتیفاکتی جووڵاو و قۆناغەکەی؛ R1، R2، R3 و R4 کار بە دەوری ئەنگوستیلەکەدا دەگێڕن. خولێک دەژمێردرێت کاتێک هەموو کۆڵەکەیەکی سەری هەڵبژێردرابێت. هەر کۆڵەکەیەک بە سەرپەرشتیی Nexus Consortium ە.
  1. Labsئەو شوێنەی پرسیارەکان دەبنە تاقیکردنەوە و نموونەی سەرەتایی: ڕێگا، داتا و ئامرازی نوێ بە ئاشکرا تاقی دەکرێنەوە، لەگەڵ سنوورەکانیان لە تۆمارێکدا، پێش ئەوەی Foundry بیانبنیاتبنێت، لە ژێر Nexus Consortium.Labs
  2. FoundryWhere exposure and scenario evidence is built so supervisors, insurers and investors can read it.Reinsurance and Catastrophe in FoundryFoundry
  3. UniverseWhere scenarios are tested in controlled exercises, and finance-readiness dialogues read what they mean for capital and cover.Reinsurance and Catastrophe in Universeuniverse.nexus
  4. Nexus StandardsWhere disclosure and data rules are codified so risk evidence is comparable for finance and insurance.دارایی، بیمە و ئابووری لە Standardsnexustandards.com
  5. ReportsWhere sector analysis and the finance and insurance readiness series are published, with exposure and limits stated.Reinsurance and Catastrophe in ReportsReports
  6. Risk AcademyWhere finance, insurance and public-finance professionals learn to read risk evidence, on Risk Academy.کۆلێژی دارایی و ئابووری لە Academyrisksacademy.com

Universe in every area of the work

ناوچەUniverse
سەرکردایەتیGRF steers the annual programme and records each gate decision from G0 to G7, with dissent kept on the record.
StrategyNational and regional priorities become the year’s missions; the annual mandate at gate G0 sets which missions the programme takes on.
CadenceOne year to prepare, one month to build, one week to act and test in Q3, a planned stand-down, then review and renewal in Q4.
خاوەندارێتیOwns the cycle mandate, mission admission decisions, gate decisions, after-action records and the renewal decision.
پرۆسەTwelve phases, from planning to renewal, each closed by a gate or a record.
گەشەپێدانDevelops national demand into admitted, qualified missions, and carries the lessons into the next mandate.
SimulationsTests work under exercise control in Action Week with independent evaluators; nothing simulated is reported as observed impact.
ReportingAuthorises publication of the year’s results at gate G6 and supplies after-action and scenario findings.
حوکمڕانیGRF governs the programme; a cycle gate is a programme decision, not a public-authority approval.
داتا و بەڵگەRun, decision and observation records from Action Week are sealed at closeout, gate G5.
Finance and resourcingData, people and resource offers are qualified before the build at gate G2; an offer is not an allocation.
Risk and assuranceExercise controls and stop-work events keep Action Week controlled, reversible and independently evaluated.
بەشداریکردنGovernments, agencies, researchers, finance, civil society and communities take part through missions, tracks and national contributions.
CommunicationMission themes are presented as proposals until admitted, and confirmed exercises are announced with their gate record.
خۆجێییExercises run on named places and سیستەمەکان, under exercise control.
نیشتمانیNational demand forms the agenda, and national counterparts own the agenda, data and decisions.
هەرێمیRegional programmes contribute missions that cross borders.
PlanetaryThe annual programme brings national and regional work together once a year.

What each institution brings

کۆڵەکەGCRIGRFGRA
Universeدەفتەری تەکنیکیی ئامادەیی زانستی و داتای هەر ئەرکێک ئامادە دەکات.پارێزگاریی پڕۆگرامەکە دەکات و بەڕێوەی دەبات: ئەرکەکە، دەروازەکانی G0 بۆ G7، کۆکردنەوە و Action Week.دیالۆگی ئامادەیی دارایی ڕێک دەخات لەبارەی ئەوەی هەر ئەرکێک چی بۆ دارایی و بیمە دەگەیەنێت.
03Injects

Synthetic injects.

InjectTests
Two models disagree on a cyclone‘s lossHow disagreement is communicated
A second event hits the same region in one seasonAggregate covers and clustering
Retrocession capacity tightens mid-seasonVisibility of capacity effects

Governance: exercises and learning.

04پرۆسە

چۆن پرۆسەکە کار دەکات.

Process explorer · Process

Test in Universe: Exercise from design to lessons

11 هەنگاو4 قۆناغ2 دەروازە

پرۆسە

Test in Universe: Exercise from design to lessons

An exercise needs objectives, qualified environments and independent evaluators; GRF authorises controlled live operation, evidence is sealed and the review keeps dissent.

  1. 01 Design

    1. 01ObjectivesRecord · The Global Risks ForumIndependent evaluators assess each exercise against its stated objectives. Nothing simulated is reported as observed impact.
    2. 02Entry conditionsپێکهاتەThe week starts only with qualified environments, controllers, evaluators, a scenario plan and stop-work authority.
    3. 03Direction, control and evaluation kept apartComponent · The Global Risks ForumGRF holds direction and admission, and GCRI’s technical office runs the simulation environment. Evaluators did not design the scenario.

  2. 02 Conduct

    1. 04G4 · کارکردنی ڕاستەوخۆی کۆنترۆڵکراو ڕێپێدراوەدەروازە · Global Risks ForumGRF authorises controlled live operation for Action Week.
    2. 05Action Week: controlled exercisesExercise · UniverseTen exercise tracks run with independent evaluators and observation. None carries live actuation, incident command or warning authority.
    3. 06Exercise injects, finance track exampleStep · The Global Risks AllianceFinance and insurance readiness injects include a crossed parametric trigger or a wider sovereign spread. No transaction occurs.
    4. 07Run, decision and observation recordsتۆمارAction Week leaves run records, decision records, observation records and exercise assessments.

  3. 03 Close

    1. 08هەڵوەشاندنەوەی ئامادەباشیهەنگاو · GCRINew work stops and authorised jobs are checkpointed. Temporary access is revoked and temporary capacity is released.
    2. 09G5 · بەڵگە داخرا و وەستان تۆمارکرادەروازە · Global Risks ForumThe evidence is sealed with its provenance and the stand-down is recorded. Unresolved exceptions are recorded with accountable owners.

  4. 04 Learn

    1. 10پێداچوونەوەی دوای کارهەنگاو · UniverseUniverse reviews what worked, what failed and what was not tested, preserving dissent.
    2. 11Improvement items with ownersRecord · UniverseThe exercise exits with improvement items. Method and gap findings become change proposals, and corrective actions close in the next period.

Universe · The programme year · A national missionDesigned programme process, not a record of operation. No cycle has run and every programme is at service level R0. A gate is a programme decision, never a public-authority approval, certification or deployment authorisation. The one-day stand-down is still proposed.

05Themes

Mission themes from this field.

  1. 01

    Catastrophe model comparison for a hazard season

    Proposed for controlled testing in the annual programme; a theme is not a confirmed exercise.

06How testing works

Controlled, reviewed and reversible.

Selected work is tested under controlled conditions, reviewed and then published with its limits. Results that pass go to Reports. The planned stand-down of each edition keeps review, reconciliation and corrections going after the event.

07سەرچاوەکان

Where this page’s references lead.

ئەو لەش و بەڵگەنامانەی ئەم لاپەڕەیەیان لەگەڵ دەخوێنرێتەوە. دۆخ و وەشانەکان دەگۆڕێن؛ هەر بەستەرێک دەچێتە لای لەشی دەرکەر.

08پرسیارەکان

پرسیار و وەڵام.

Where is Universe?
It has its own website at universe.nexus. GRF governs the programme.
بیمەی ئەتکایی و کارەسات

Bring an exposure or capital question to the Alliance.

زانیاری و پرسیار ئەمڕۆ کراوەن. پرسیارێک ژمارەی ئاماژەی پێدەدرێت و هەنگاوی دواتر دیاری دەکات؛ داواکاری، پارەدان، تەرخانکردنی کۆمپیوتەر و تۆمارکردن تەنیا کاتێک دەکرێنەوە کە تیم، مەرج و توانای پێداچوونەوەیان هەبێت.

Propose a readiness pilot بینینی هەموو ڕێگاکانی پەیوەندی
یاسایی

نەخشە، داتا و وێنەکانی ئەم ماڵپەڕە بۆ ناوەڕۆک و زانیاریی گشتی پیشان دراون. ئامۆژگاری، پێشبینی یان ئاگادارکردنەوە نین؛ سنوورەکانی زانیارییەکە لە ڕەتکردنەوەی بەرپرسیارێتی و ئاگاداریی داتادا دەستنیشان کراون.