Executive summary

The edition on a few pages: the abstract, the key messages, the headline finding and what each steward reads in it.

5 min read1 figure0 tables15 notesNR-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE

Contents
  1. ·Edition home
  2. ·Executive summary
    1. S.1 Abstract
    2. S.2 Key messages
    3. S.3 Headline finding
    4. S.4 At a glance
    5. S.5 What each steward reads in it
    6. S.6 What this edition is, and is not
  3. 1Water is where the systems meet
  4. 2Key findings
  5. 3Systems and sectors at baseline
  6. 4Risks and capability
  7. 5Multi-basin drought under heat
  8. 6Lenses and readings
  9. 7The 2027 agenda
  10. 8Systems in depth
  11. AMethodology
  12. BData appendix
  13. CReferences and record
  14. ·Complete edition, for print

S.1Abstract

The world enters 2027 with a water system under strain from both ends. In 2022, 2.2 billion people still lacked safely managed drinking water and 3.5 billion lacked safely managed sanitation1; roughly half of the world’s people experience severe water scarcity for at least part of the year2. 2023 was the driest year for the world’s rivers in 33 years, and glaciers lost more than 600 gigatonnes of water, the largest annual loss in five decades5. Floods, storms and wildfires caused US$166 billion of 2025’s disaster losses7, while freshwater wildlife populations have fallen by 85% on average since 197017. Agriculture takes about 70% of withdrawals2, so water stress travels directly into food prices, hydropower, health and ecosystems. This Baseline Edition fixes the 2026 reference state of the global water system, maps its couplings to energy, food, health and nature, and sets the questions the 2027 edition will answer from basin and national evidence. It ranks no country or basin.

S.2Key messages

Six readings that frame the water baseline, and the eight questions this edition answers, each with its status and source.

  1. 2.2 billion people lacked safely managed drinking water and 3.5 billion safely managed sanitation in 2022.1

    Who lacks safe water?Reported

  2. Roughly half of the world’s people face severe scarcity for part of each year.222

    How widespread is scarcity?Reported

  3. 2023 was the driest year for rivers in 33 years; glaciers lost more than 600 Gt.5

    Is the water cycle changing?Reported

  4. It supplies about half of domestic water, and declines have accelerated in many aquifers.420

    What about groundwater?Reported

  5. Agriculture uses about 70% of withdrawals; drought cuts yields and raises prices.215

    How does water drive food risk?Reported

  6. Hydropower and thermal cooling depend on flows; drought cuts both.14

    How does water drive energy risk?Inferred

  7. Freshwater wildlife fell by 85% on average since 1970; wetlands shrank by 22%.1718

    How healthy is freshwater nature?Reported

  8. A multi-basin drought cutting hydropower and irrigated yields at once. SCN-GS01-MBD-01

    What will 2027 test first?Expert input

S.3Headline finding

ReportedEQL 5NRF-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-WAT-001

In 2022, 2.2 billion people lacked safely managed drinking water and 3.5 billion lacked safely managed sanitation, and 2 billion lacked basic hygiene facilities at home.

Figure S.1People without services, 2022 (billion)
ItemBar, scaled to the largest valueValue
Safely managed drinking water2.2
Safely managed sanitation3.5

Source: WHO/UNICEF JMP 20231.

Service gaps concentrate in low-income, rural and fragile settings, where they compound health, education and gender inequalities and leave households most exposed when drought or flood strikes. Closing them is also climate adaptation110.

S.4At a glance

2.2billion

without safely managed water1

3.5billion

without safely managed sanitation1

≈70%

of withdrawals for agriculture2

153countries

sharing transboundary waters9

1.4million

WASH-attributable deaths, 201938

739million

children in high water scarcity39

S.5What each steward reads in it

GCRI · KEY T

Technical Truth

The evidence supports reading water as the coupling layer of the WEFH+B system.

GRF · KEY M

Public Meaning

For most people water risk arrives as a dry tap, a flooded street or a higher food price.

GRA · KEY F

Capital Meaning

Readiness implications only. Flood losses are large and often uninsured, water investment falls short of need, and nature-related disclosure is spreading.

NEXUS

Synthesis

The water system is well studied and thinly governed at the scale where its risks travel.

S.6What this edition is, and is not

What this edition is

A baseline: the state of water access, scarcity, groundwater, glaciers and extremes in 2026, and the couplings through which water carries risk into energy, food, health and nature. It synthesises published global evidence; it ranks no country or basin.

What it is not

Not a water-stress ranking, an allocation recommendation or an assessment of any utility, basin authority or government. Water rights and management rest with national and local authorities and basin organisations.

What comes next

National water chapters and basin evidence feed the 2027 water edition through the federation. Each edition reports what changed against this baseline, observations, source revisions, method changes, scenario updates and corrections.

Notes

Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references

  1. 1WHO and UNICEF (eds.), Progress on Household Drinking Water, Sanitation and Hygiene 2000–2022: Special Focus on Gender. Joint Monitoring Programme, New York and Geneva, 2023.back
  2. 2UNESCO World Water Assessment Programme (ed.), The United Nations World Water Development Report 2024: Water for Prosperity and Peace. UNESCO, Paris, 2024.back
  3. 5WMO (ed.), State of Global Water Resources 2023. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, 2024.back
  4. 7Munich Re (ed.), Natural disasters in 2025: NatCatSERVICE full-year figures. Munich Re, Munich, January 2026.back
  5. 17WWF (ed.), Living Planet Report 2024: A System in Peril. WWF, Gland, 2024.back
  6. 22M. M. Mekonnen and A. Y. Hoekstra, “Four billion people facing severe water scarcity,” Science Advances, vol. 2, e1500323, 2016.back
  7. 4UNESCO World Water Assessment Programme (ed.), The United Nations World Water Development Report 2022: Groundwater, Making the Invisible Visible. UNESCO, Paris, 2022.back
  8. 20S. Jasechko, H. Seybold, D. Perrone et al., “Rapid groundwater decline and some cases of recovery in aquifers globally,” Nature, vol. 625, pp. 715–721, 2024.back
  9. 15FAO (ed.), The State of the World’s Land and Water Resources for Food and Agriculture 2021: Systems at Breaking Point. FAO, Rome, 2021.back
  10. 14International Energy Agency (ed.), Water–Energy Nexus. World Energy Outlook 2016 Special Report. IEA, Paris, 2016.back
  11. 18Ramsar Convention Secretariat (ed.), Global Wetland Outlook 2025. Ramsar Convention Secretariat, Gland, 2025.back
  12. 10UN-Water (ed.), Blueprint for Acceleration: Sustainable Development Goal 6 Synthesis Report on Water and Sanitation 2023. United Nations, Geneva, 2023.back
  13. 9UNECE and UNESCO (eds.), Progress on Transboundary Water Cooperation: Global Status of SDG Indicator 6.5.2 and Acceleration Needs, 2024. United Nations, Geneva and Paris, 2024.back
  14. 38WHO (ed.), Burden of Disease Attributable to Unsafe Drinking-water, Sanitation and Hygiene: 2019 Update. WHO, Geneva, 2023.back
  15. 39UNICEF (ed.), The Climate-Changed Child: A Children’s Climate Risk Index Supplement. UNICEF, New York, 2023.back

Cite this summary

Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Executive summary: Executive summary. In Global Water Risk and Resilience Report 2026: The State of the World’s Water System (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI).

Every citation form of the whole report, BibTeX and RIS included, is on the edition home. Cite this report

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Global Risks AllianceGlobal Sector Risk and Resilience
Sector signature

The sectors behind Global Water.

A reading aid: the sectors the findings run through and how strongly they depend on each other.

Select corners · hover lines6 / 15 relations

Signature

Water and its partners

Water gives irrigation to food (0.8), cooling water and hydropower to energy (0.6) and environmental flows to biodiversity (0.6).

W · E · I · F · H · B

Sectors
4 of 6
Relations
6 of 15
Coupling
0.43 share of total

Strongest relations in play

  • Food → Biodiversity · land conversion0.6
  • Water → Energy · cooling water and hydropower0.6
  • Water → Food · irrigation0.8
  • Water → Biodiversity · environmental flows0.6
Teaching values for a typical city-region, not measurements for any place. Coupling is the summed strength of the relations in play, as a share of all fifteen.
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