Stress test

A conditional stress test under stated assumptions; never a forecast, a rating or advice.

In preparation. This GRA chapter is not written yet; it holds no findings.
Contents
  1. ·Edition home
  2. 1Exposure and capital
  3. 2Readiness findings
  4. 3Protection gaps by sector
  5. 4Balance-sheet and insurance capacity
  6. 5Stress test
    1. 5.1 What this chapter will report
    2. 5.2 Where the evidence sits now
    3. 5.3 Contribute to this chapter
  7. 6Readings from the other desks
  8. 7Market actions
  9. 8Instruments and products

5.1What this chapter will report

A conditional stress test under stated assumptions; never a forecast, a rating or advice.

It answers the frame question "scenario" in the terms of the Global Risks Alliance (GRA) Capital Readiness, so the Collection can set it beside chapter 5 of the other desks’ editions.

5.2Where the evidence sits now

The nearest material today is chapter 5 of the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) Systems Evidence edition for Climate and Earth Systems: scenario cascade. It is a cross-reference, not a copy, and it is a draft in stewardship review.

GCRI edition, chapter 5

Downloads

The print edition of the evidence this chapter cross-references: the GCRI Systems Evidence edition for Climate and Earth Systems.

Draft, not yet releasedThe print and files of the GCRI edition this desk’s edition cross-references. Review copies until release; the DOI is issued at deposit.

  • Print

    • PDF, A4

      The GCRI Systems Evidence print edition for this subject, A4: cover, imprint, contents with page numbers, every chapter and annex.

      PDF114 pages976 KBTagged, with bookmarks

      SHA-256 3769b751e021f7dde888a6dadb0e60aae60ebb109c1bc7c81d531c5bc1123c32

      Download: PDF, A4

    • PDF, US Letter

      The GCRI Systems Evidence print edition for this subject, US Letter: cover, imprint, contents with page numbers, every chapter and annex.

      PDF123 pages993 KBTagged, with bookmarks

      SHA-256 8b41d5660dc94b5d7c83acec7f056a3a479842f167aa27ef63c7ed1de4a96bdd

      Download: PDF, US Letter

  • Web edition

  • Data bundle

    • Indicators, CSV

      19 indicators with unit, year, status and source

      NR-SECTOR-CLIMATE-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-indicators.csv1 KB

      SHA-256 141121e84f72cbe6595580bbb89901d0379c3c33011140434c0248df80674ad0

      Download: Indicators, CSV

    • Indicators, JSON

      The same indicators with the edition’s identity and licence

      NR-SECTOR-CLIMATE-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-indicators.json2 KB

      SHA-256 bc0ebb0e11e36241ef4273f0ba15c929f3230d17b2c9cf7b60d96765db57b9c4

      Download: Indicators, JSON

    • Findings, CSV

      12 findings with status, evidence-quality level and references

      NR-SECTOR-CLIMATE-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-findings.csv3 KB

      SHA-256 3f8f72a7932f79444a3ee9538efcde2577d2d76e4afb63bce2157df9bec0cbd4

      Download: Findings, CSV

  • Citation files

    • Citation, BibTeX

      For LaTeX and reference managers

      NR-SECTOR-CLIMATE-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE.bib1 KB

      SHA-256 561087eca1a49d093ffdc4b30eefe56191541c5c039036485bd709ab76ca27c9

      Download: Citation, BibTeX

    • Citation, RIS

      For Zotero, EndNote and Mendeley

      NR-SECTOR-CLIMATE-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE.ris1 KB

      SHA-256 1ae2495066a2d30cafdabcb327f71d60f6198fe5edd19635c689f6afc35f6559

      Download: Citation, RIS

    • Citation, CITATION.cff

      Citation File Format 1.2.0, for GitHub, Zenodo and software catalogues

      NR-SECTOR-CLIMATE-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE.cff1 KB

      SHA-256 624401c56806aff824246bc8fea54b17c299fbe72eb7d0962728ecfc9ba7fc24

      Download: Citation, CITATION.cff

Check a file with its SHA-256: shasum -a 256 <file> (macOS, Linux) or Get-FileHash <file> (Windows). Text, tables and figures by Nexus: CC BY 4.0; each source keeps its own licence.

5.3Contribute to this chapter

How far finance and insurance are ready for the risks in scope: protection gaps, disclosure practice, portfolio readiness and the capacity of balance sheets, read on a ladder of evidence and never as advice or a rating. Material for this chapter goes to the GRA Capital Readiness desk; what belongs to another desk is forwarded, not refused.

The Alliance reads an edition for capital readiness: whether insurers, banks, investors and public finance can read a finding without distorting it.

If you price or allocate against these risks, send the case and say what you may disclose. The Alliance will cite the part you can share.

Which desk takes what you have
ReportsContribute

Contribute to chapter 5 of Capital Readiness: Climate and Earth Systems 2026.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication, written by six desks. This page sits with the GRA Capital Readiness desk. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work. Sent to the wrong desk, it is forwarded, not refused.

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Contribution form · reports.contribution.gra

Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.

CC BY 4.0 Free to read. Text and figures: CC BY 4.0. Data: CC0 1.0. Authors keep copyright. Published by GCRI Canada.

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