Reports
GRA Capital Readiness
Compare

Compare by chapter frame

The Alliance holds the capital meaning of every edition. Its key asks whether finance and insurance can read a finding without misusing it. Two subjects, or two quarters of one subject, are set side by side by chapter.

The catalogue

Pairs: 27
Frame: Eight chapters
Subjects with a pack: 55

01 · This desk

How GRA Capital Readiness compares.

The Alliance reads an edition for capital readiness: whether insurers, banks, investors and public finance can read a finding without distorting it.

The finance key is the Alliance’s. It asks whether a finding can be used in a balance sheet, and what it must not be used for.

An Alliance edition is not investment advice and not a rating. It states readiness, with the evidence it rests on.

02 · Compare

Side by side.

Frame	Canada 2026	United States 2026
1 · The question	Canada’s risk is coupled, not cumulative Part I describes systems and their couplings.	America’s risk is coupled, not cumulative Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Western heat, drought and fire year A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Western heat, fire and grid summer A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Mexico 2026	Brazil 2026
1 · The question	Mexico’s risk runs through its borders, its basins and its coasts Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Brazil’s risk runs through water, forest and fire Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Multi-year drought on a gas-reliant grid A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Strong El Niño drought across rivers, hydropower and fire A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Argentina 2026	France 2026
1 · The question	Argentina’s risk is hydrological and fiscal at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.	France’s risk is coupled, not cumulative Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Multi-year drought with low Paraná flows A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Hot, dry summer with low river flows A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Germany 2026	Italy 2026
1 · The question	Germany’s risk is coupled, not cumulative Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Italy’s risk is coupled, not cumulative Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Hot, dry summer with low Rhine water A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Drought-to-flood year A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	United Kingdom 2026	Switzerland 2026
1 · The question	Britain’s risk is coupled, not cumulative Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Switzerland’s risk starts in the mountains and runs through water Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Hot, dry summer in southern England A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Dry year with low reservoirs and low river flows A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	European Union 2026	Turkiye 2026
1 · The question	The Union’s risk is shared across borders and unevenly insured Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Turkiye’s risk is seismic, climatic and import-dependent at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Compound summer of heat, drought and fire A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	A drought year across water, hydropower, wheat and budgets A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Russian Federation 2026	Saudi Arabia 2026
1 · The question	Russia’s risk is thermal, hydrological and informational at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Saudi Arabia’s risk is heat, water and supply at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Heat, drought and smoke in a grain and forest region A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Summer heat peak with a mass gathering A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	United Arab Emirates 2026	South Africa 2026
1 · The question	The United Arab Emirates’ risk is heat, water and supply at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.	South Africa’s risk runs through its pipes and its grid Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Humid summer heat peak with grid and desalination stress A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Power shortfall and wastewater stress in a dense province A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Senegal 2026	Kenya 2026
1 · The question	Senegal’s risk runs through its rivers, its coast and its fuel Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Kenya’s risk runs between its rains and its grid Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Urban flood with a water, power and clinic interruption A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Failed rains, grid shortfall and outbreak in the arid counties A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	African Union 2026	India 2026
1 · The question	The Union’s risk is shared across borders and carried by services that do not yet reach everyone Part I describes systems and their couplings.	India’s risk is monsoon-dependent, heat-loaded and changing fast in power Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Compound drought, price and outbreak year A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	A second deficient monsoon across groundwater, kharif output, power demand and food budgets A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	China 2026	Japan 2026
1 · The question	China’s risk is climatic, seismic and demographic at continental scale Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Japan’s risk is seismic, climatic and demographic at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Extreme rain on a dense plain in a hot summer A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Great earthquake in an ageing region A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Republic of Korea 2026	Indonesia 2026
1 · The question	Korea’s risk is demographic, climatic and import-dependent at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Indonesia’s risk is climatic, geophysical and supply-linked at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Heat and heavy-rain sequence over the capital region A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Flood and landslide sequence across rice-growing islands A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Singapore 2026	Australia 2026
1 · The question	Singapore’s risk arrives through imports, heat and the sea Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Australia’s risk is a coupling of heat, fire, water and distance Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Imported-fuel interruption during a heat-stress period A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Hot, dry summer in the populated south-east A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Global Water 2026	Global Energy 2026
1 · The question	Water is where the systems meet Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Energy is where the systems meet Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the water baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the energy baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four water risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four energy risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Multi-basin drought under heat A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Fuel supply shock under a hot, high-demand season A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The water baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The energy baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 water agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 energy agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Global Food 2026	Global Health and One Health 2026
1 · The question	Food is where the systems meet Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Health is where the systems meet Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the food baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the health baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four food risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four health risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Harvest shortfall under high input costs A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Outbreak, funding gap and heat season in fragile health systems A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The food baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The health baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 food agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 health agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Global Finance and Economy 2026	Global Development and Humanitarian 2026
1 · The question	Finance is where shocks are priced Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Need is rising as support contracts Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the finance and economy baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the development and humanitarian baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four finance and economy risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four development and humanitarian risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Sovereign bond repricing under inflation and thin fiscal space A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Funding contraction, displacement surge and food price shock in a highly indebted fragile economy A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The finance and economy baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The development and humanitarian baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 finance and economy agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 development and humanitarian agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Global Climate 2026	Global Disaster and Resilience 2026
1 · The question	Climate sets the terms for the other systems Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Disaster is where the systems meet Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the climate baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the disaster and resilience baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four climate risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four disaster and resilience risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	A strong El Niño on a 1.5 °C background A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Major cyclone landfall with lifeline and health-system failure A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The climate baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The disaster and resilience baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 climate agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 disaster and resilience agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Global Infrastructure and Logistics 2026	Global Cities 2026
1 · The question	Infrastructure is what the other systems travel on Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Cities are where the systems meet Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the infrastructure and logistics baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the cities baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four infrastructure and logistics risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four cities risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Chokepoint closure with port downtime and a cyber incident A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Heat wave followed by flooding in a subsiding coastal city A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The infrastructure and logistics baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The cities baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 infrastructure and logistics agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 cities agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Global Biodiversity 2026	Global Earth Observation 2026
1 · The question	Nature is the layer under every other system Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Observation is where evidence begins Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the biodiversity baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the Earth observation baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four biodiversity risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four Earth observation risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Hot, fire-prone season with land conversion and mining expansion A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Observation gap under an extreme season A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The biodiversity baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The Earth observation baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 biodiversity agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 Earth observation agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Global Cyber and Digital Systems 2026	Global Policy, Institutions and Governance 2026
1 · The question	The digital layer is where the systems meet Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Governance is the layer that sets the rules for every other system Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the cyber and digital systems baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the governance baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four cyber and digital systems risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four governance risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Provider failure under a ransomware wave A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Debt-service squeeze under aid cuts, thinner oversight and a health or food shock A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The cyber and digital systems baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The governance baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 cyber and digital systems agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 governance agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Global Polycrisis 2026	Critical Infrastructure and Lifeline Systems 2026
1 · The question	Crises are entangled, not stacked Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Lifelines fail together Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the global baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the lifeline systems baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four global risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four global risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Concurrent breadbasket shortfall and energy price shock A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Power loss that overlaps a telecom or cloud failure A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The global baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The global baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 polycrisis agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 lifeline systems agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Global Supply Chains, Trade and Chokepoints 2026	Critical Minerals and Strategic Materials 2026
1 · The question	Trade moves through a few narrow places Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Small volumes, large dependence Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the supply chains and chokepoints baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the critical minerals baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four global risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four global risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	A chokepoint closure that overlaps a Red Sea diversion and high freight rates A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Export-control expansion that overlaps a cobalt quota squeeze A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The global baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The global baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 supply chains and chokepoints agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 critical minerals agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Sovereign, Fiscal and Financial Resilience 2026	Insurance, Protection Gaps and Insurability 2026
1 · The question	Public budgets and markets stress together Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Protection gaps are shared risk Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the fiscal and financial resilience baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the insurance and protection gaps baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four global risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four global risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Energy shock, sovereign repricing and nonbank selling A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Large insured loss that meets soft pricing and thin backstops A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The global baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The global baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 fiscal and financial resilience agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 insurance and protection gaps agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Food, Water and Energy Security 2026	Health Security, One Health and Biosecurity 2026
1 · The question	Food, water and energy fail together Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Health threats cross every line Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the food, water and energy baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the health security baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four global risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four global risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Energy and fertiliser route shock that overlaps a strong El Niño A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	High-consequence outbreak that overlaps reduced financing and thin surveillance A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The global baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The global baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 food, water and energy agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 health security agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Planetary Boundaries and Earth-System Tipping Risk 2026	Digital Public Infrastructure and Systemic Cyber Risk 2026
1 · The question	Pressure builds across the system Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Digital systems fail together Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the planetary boundaries baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the digital public infrastructure baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four global risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four global risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Ocean heat and reef loss that overlaps stress on the Atlantic circulation and the Amazon A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Shared provider failure that overlaps a power or network loss A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The global baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The global baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 planetary boundaries agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 digital public infrastructure agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Cities, Demography and Human Systems 2026	Oceans, Arctic and Global Commons 2026
1 · The question	People and places change together Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Shared spaces change together Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the human systems baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the ocean and polar commons baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four global risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four global risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	A heatwave that meets an ageing, dense and informally housed district A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	High seas treaty implementation and the first protected areas A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The global baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The global baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 human systems agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 ocean and polar commons agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Strategic Technology Infrastructure and Sovereign Readiness 2026	Global Resilience Investment and National Portfolios 2026
1 · The question	Technology rests on a few physical inputs Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Money meets risk Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the strategic technology infrastructure baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the resilience investment baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four global risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four global risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Local grid constraint that overlaps a chip or mineral supply constraint A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	A loss year that meets tight public budgets A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The global baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The global baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 strategic technology infrastructure agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 resilience investment agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Baseline Edition 2026	Q1 2027
1 · The question	Canada’s risk is coupled, not cumulative Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut
5 · Scenario	Western heat, drought and fire year A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut

CC BY 4.0 Free to read. Text and figures: CC BY 4.0. Data: CC0 1.0. Authors keep copyright. Published by the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI Canada).

Name	Purpose	Duration	Party
`wordpress_*`cookie	Strictly necessaryThis site	Until you sign out	First party
`wordpress_logged_in_*`cookie	Strictly necessaryThis site	Until you sign out, or 14 days	First party
`wordpress_sec_*`cookie	Strictly necessaryThis site	Until you sign out, or 14 days	First party
`wordpress_test_cookie`cookie	Strictly necessaryThis site	Session	First party
`wp-settings-*`cookie	Strictly necessaryThis site	1 year	First party
`wp-postpass_*`cookie	Strictly necessaryThis site	10 days	First party
`comment_author_*`cookie	Strictly necessaryThis site	About 347 days	First party
`wpEmojiSettingsSupports`browser storage	Strictly necessaryThis site	Session	First party
`nexus_consent`cookie	Strictly necessaryPrivacy choices	180 days	First party
`nexus_consent_id`cookie	Strictly necessaryPrivacy choices	180 days	First party
`nexus_consent_reset`cookie	Strictly necessaryPrivacy choices	Session	First party
`wp_consent_*`cookie	Strictly necessaryPrivacy choices	180 days	First party
`nexus_consent`browser storage	Strictly necessaryPrivacy choices	180 days	First party
`nx_theme`browser storage	Preferences and functionalDisplay preferences	Until you change it	First party
`nexus.theme.default`browser storage	Preferences and functionalDisplay preferences	Until you change it	First party
`bx-color-mode`browser storage	Preferences and functionalDisplay preferences	Until you change it	First party
`bx-color-mode-against`browser storage	Preferences and functionalDisplay preferences	Until you change it	First party
`nexus.embed.theme`browser storage	Preferences and functionalDisplay preferences	Until you change it	First party
`buddyx_dark_mode`browser storage	Preferences and functionalDisplay preferences	Until you change it	First party
`buddyx_color_mode_against`browser storage	Preferences and functionalDisplay preferences	Until you change it	First party
`nexus.a11y`browser storage	Preferences and functionalDisplay preferences	Until you change it	First party
`nexus.dock`browser storage	Preferences and functionalDisplay preferences	Until you change it	First party
`bp-activity`browser storage	Strictly necessaryCommunity directories (BuddyPress)	As the provider sets it	First party
`bp-groups`browser storage	Strictly necessaryCommunity directories (BuddyPress)	As the provider sets it	First party
`bp-members`browser storage	Strictly necessaryCommunity directories (BuddyPress)	As the provider sets it	First party
`bp-blogs`browser storage	Strictly necessaryCommunity directories (BuddyPress)	As the provider sets it	First party
`bp-messages`browser storage	Strictly necessaryCommunity directories (BuddyPress)	As the provider sets it	First party

Compare by chapter frame

How GRA Capital Readiness compares.

Side by side.

Not for profit

Who funds us

Independence

Licence