GRA · Financial Regulation Nexus
Spatial financeWhere capital meets hazard, exposure and transition
Published scenarios
Supervisors run scenarios to test individual institutions and the system: solvency stress tests, climate scenario exercises and system-wide exercises that include nonbanks. This page compares the scenario designs supervisors have published and the choices that make results comparable. Values shown are design values for teaching, never supervisory results.
The workspace for published scenarios.
Build workspace
Financial regulation · Published scenarios · Run R-1345 · Example interface, not a record
Runs
same inputs, versioned
| R-8297 | Financial economics | v6.9 | 0.56 | Running |
| R-9978 | Policy, institutional | v6.1 | 0.51 | Passed |
| R-8482 | Data engineering | v6.3 | 0.67 | Failed test |
| R-7954 | Game theory | v4.3 | 0.88 | Passed |
Model card
- Method
- Financial economics and macro-finance
- Inputs
- Supervisory returns, Inspection findings
- Validation
- held-out period, skill reported
- Label
- MODELLED
Run log
- 00:00:20InfoIngest supervisory returns
- 00:03:12InfoSchema and licence checks passed
- 00:06:40WarnGap filled by interpolation, flagged
- 00:15:03DoneCalibration complete
- 00:27:55GateIndependent test queued
Financial Regulation Nexus · Build workspace. Build workspace: example names and illustrative values, not a record.
Releases appear as they are reviewed.
Analysis runs in Foundry; reviewed releases are listed here.
Tools authorities use, and what they assume.
| Tool | What it does |
|---|---|
| Countercyclical capital buffer | Raises bank capital in credit booms and releases it in stress |
| Borrower-based measures | Loan-to-value and debt-service limits on mortgage lending |
| Sectoral systemic risk buffers | Capital against concentrated exposures, for example to real estate |
| System-wide stress exercises | Joint behaviour of banks and nonbanks under a common scenario |
How the process runs.
Process explorer · Process
Published scenarios: Build, sign and accept
10 steps·4 stages·2 gates
Process
Published scenarios: Build, sign and accept
An admitted mission becomes a cycle project; the build is pinned, verified and signed, and the Global Risks Forum (GRF) records acceptance for exercise, not permission to deploy.
01 Request and sources
- 01Admitted mission becomes a cycle projectRecord · Universe to FoundryAn admitted mission becomes a cycle project with a decision case.
- 02Qualify data sources and resourcesStep · the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)GCRI qualifies data sources and resource offers and builds the scenario models. An offer is not an allocation.
02 Build and verify
- 03Source snapshotRecord · NXS-FAC (blueprints, builds and signing)The snapshot pins the commit, dependencies and generator versions.
- 04Build contractRecord · NXS-FAC (blueprints, builds and signing)The build contract declares the artefact kind, environment and reproducibility envelope.
- 05Integrate and buildModel · GCRIGCRI integrates software and data, signs builds, and tests security and interoperability.
- 06Verification suiteGate · NXS-FAC (blueprints, builds and signing)Required and advisory checks stay separate. Reproducibility needs pinned inputs, declared nondeterminism and independent rebuilds.
03 Sign and admit
- 07Sign the exact artefactStep · NXS-FAC (blueprints, builds and signing)NXS-FAC builds, attests and requests a signature via a scoped signer identity. It holds no key material.
- 08Package admissionStep · NXS-NXQ (software, models and capability lifecycle)NXS-NXQ receives the signed package and keeps admission evidence that binds the task, data class, evaluation suite and expiration.
04 Accept
- 09Core Build ReportRecord · GCRIThe Core Build Report is the go or no-go record. Universe assembles the Core and holds the decision for the exercise.
- 10G3 · Build accepted for exerciseGate · The Global Risks ForumGRF records whether the build is accepted for exercise. A signed build or release candidate is not permission to deploy to production.
The programme year · NXS-FAC · UniverseDesigned programme process, not a record of operation. No cycle has run and every programme is at service level R0. A gate is a programme decision, never a public-authority approval, certification or deployment authorisation. The record order follows the Builds and Releases room lists of NXS-FAC.
Open questions, stated as open.
Whether climate-related concentration should be addressed through macroprudential buffers remains under discussion among authorities; the Global Risks Alliance (GRA) presents it as an open question, not a settled tool. Scenario families at Climate and Nature Financial Risk; climate risk governance at GRF climate risk governance.
Where this page's references lead.
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
Questions and answers.
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