Shocks arrive through the real economy
Hazards, outages and supply failures reach balance sheets as defaults, claims, repricing and fiscal strain, often months after the event and through counterparties that were never assessed together.
The Global Risks Alliance (GRA) is a nonprofit corporation registered in Nevada, United States, operating as a business league for the financial services industry. It translates evidence about interconnected physical, operational and technological risk into the questions that competent banks, insurers, investors, development lenders and supervisors ask before they decide. GRA prepares that evidence. It never lends, underwrites, rates, invests or approves.
Capital corridorsCorridors between twelve financial centres; cells shaded by distance to the nearest centre. Corridors are illustrative, not market data.
The Global Risks Alliance (GRA) is a nonprofit business league of the financial services industry and a steward of the Consortium with the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI). It reads systemic-risk evidence for finance, insurance and public finance.
GRA · Readiness
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A dossier climbs only as far as its evidence allows, and is released only on the programme owner's written direction.
Finance readiness · Lawful handoffs · Lawful handoffs on GRAAn outline of how the work is designed to run; it does not report the status of any decision or record.
The losses that test financial systems now begin outside them: in a flooded port, a failed grid, a cyber incident at a shared provider or a harvest lost to heat. Each institution sees its own slice of the exposure. Nobody sees the whole chain, and the evidence that would show it is scattered across sectors, borders and disciplines.
Hazards, outages and supply failures reach balance sheets as defaults, claims, repricing and fiscal strain, often months after the event and through counterparties that were never assessed together.
Banks, insurers, funds and sovereigns depend on the same assets, the same providers and the same models. A loss that looks contained in one institution can be correlated across many.
Scientific and engineering evidence rarely answers the questions a credit committee, an underwriter or a supervisor must ask. Protection gaps stay unmeasured, and finance follows disasters instead of preparing for them.
Night-time lights and population as a proxy for economic activity, beside the hazards that reach it, from NASA satellites, with elevation and live natural events. Switch layers, draw an area and export an image with its citations.
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Layers 2
Activity and exposure
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NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth
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Activity and exposure, framed on the contiguous United States.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date. They are indicators, not assessments of any place.
Layers and dates
The sectors that carry exposure in coastal storm surge and how a loss in one passes to the others, across portfolios and public finances.
Choose a context
Sectors · Coastal storm surgeStress
Pillars · Coastal storm surgeKPI
In this contextDependence or handoff, heavier is strongerOutside this context
Programme yearAll phases
Context
Coastal storm surge
Mangroves and dunes absorb the surge; where they are gone, ports, substations and water intakes take it.
W · E · I · F · H · B
Risk
Hover a corner, a line or a row to trace it across both sides.
Route
Applied to coastal storm surge
L · F · U · S · R · A
Response
Expected value
Hover a pillar, a line or a row to read how it is applied.
A: a teaching cascade (shock 0.6, gain 0.35, four rounds) over teaching values for a typical city-region, not measurements. B: illustrative applications and the KPI each pillar answers for; values are published benchmarks, cited, not forecasts. Open events: NASA EONET, live.
Choose hazards, exposure layers and a geography, then build. Population and economic activity are weighed against live hazard data, cell by cell, ready to read against assets and instruments.
Sources: NASA GIBS, NASA EONET, USGS earthquakes, Open-Meteo (ECMWF, Copernicus GloFAS and CAMS), Natural Earth. Coupling weights are teaching values; scores are illustrative, not an assessment.
How financial stress could build along a coast where homes, businesses, insurers, lenders and public budgets carry the same hazard, on real geography with elevation: the US Gulf coast at baseline, under a hurricane with storm surge, and as the surge turns into repricing. Select a scenario. The levels are examples, not results.
FieldThe US Gulf coast under a surge or repricing scenario. Real geography. The levels are illustrative, not results.
Mortgages, insured property, municipal bonds, ports and energy assets sit on the same low coast. Each institution sees its own slice. The readiness dossier puts the whole exposure in one financial view.
Storm surge reaches the coastal cells first: insured and uninsured property, closed ports, interrupted energy supply. The loss splits into what is retained, what is transferred and what nothing covers.
After the storm, insurance withdraws or reprices, collateral values fall and public budgets carry the gap, reaching further inland than the water did. A protection-gap estimate shows where the uncovered loss would sit before it does.
Readiness means fitness for a stated next step, within a stated scope and evidence state. It is never approval, a rating or a promise of finance. Each step is designed to leave a record that a reviewing institution can examine.
The services behind each step, and what each never is, are described on Finance readiness.
Exposure, asset registers, loss history and scenarios, each carrying its evidence label: observed, published statistics, estimated, modelled or scenario.
Plausible shocks run against the exposure with stated assumptions, so a reader sees the range and not only a central case.
Environmental, social, legal, anti-corruption and data-rights questions identified before anyone relies on the work.
What a competent institution would still need to know, written down openly rather than smoothed over.
At the programme owner's written direction, the dossier is released to a competent party that the owner chooses. That party reviews it independently and decides under its own authority.
Each route has its own address. Country and consortium programme enquiries go to the Consortium Secretariat. The acknowledgement gives a reference and names the next step, and the first useful outcome is named before any work is agreed.
Industry-wide exposure and protection-gap questions, worked on together and published where rights allow. No underwriting, lending or capital is promised. Write to the readiness team
Research scopes, scenario evidence and the diligence needs that remain open, for each institution's own analysis. Participation is not investment advice. Write to the research team
Evidence, safeguards and open diligence questions for a resilience programme, prepared for your own independent review. Write to the readiness team
Scenario evidence on contingent liabilities and financial transmission. No privileged access to any authority is offered or implied. Write to the Secretariat
Bounded contributions to sector platforms and working groups, with review and recognition, once their terms are adopted. Register membership interest
Challenge a public statement without membership or payment. Competition-law and conduct concerns go to compliance. Request a correction
Open now: information and enquiries. An enquiry is acknowledged with a reference and the next step. Membership applications, contributions and readiness engagements open only when their team, terms and review capacity are in place. Routes by audience are listed on Contact.
As a business league, GRA exists to improve conditions across the financial services industry as a whole, not to serve any single firm's business. Membership is designed to bring institutions and professionals into that shared work.
Membership confers no authority, appointment, endorsement, regulatory standing, data access or influence over findings. Pathways, safeguards and what is open today are set out on Membership.
The Alliance's sector platforms share fields with GCRI's science and the Forum's governance. Trace a field across the three institutions, then follow it into the Standards a finance team maps to, the Academy's courses and the Reports that state their evidence class.
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RegistryOpen
The disclosure, data and model-risk standards a finance team can map its own frameworks to.
Learning22 courses open
Courses on exposure, protection gaps, disaster risk finance and model risk.
EvidenceCorrections open
Sector and scenario editions that state their evidence class, never a rating or advice.
IndexValues forming
The anchor data pipeline and indexing system for all risk data, built on Nexus Standards.
The Index is the Consortium's indexing system for risk data. Every indicator, hazard, series and country profile carries its Nexus Standards identifier, its source and its licence, so what this page shows can be traced, corrected and reused.
Every country profile carries the source and licence of each value. Correct a value or reply
Open layers on an equal-area hexagon grid, shown as densities per km² or as symbols: People · GHSL 2025People · WorldPop 2025Built-up areaPortsAirportsRoadsRailwaysRivers and lake centrelines
/api/v1/public/grix · https://nexustandards.com/uni/{uni}
Developers · Data · Made with Natural Earth, Public domain; GHSL and WorldPop, CC BY 4.0
Snapshot of the Index registries pinned 2026-10-23 · 22c6eed. Research and risk-analytics information: not a rating, an official classification, a warning, a benchmark or advice.
Write to GRA, or to the Consortium Secretariat about a country or consortium programme. The acknowledgement gives a reference and names the next step. An enquiry does not create membership, an engagement or any commitment to finance.
Start from who you are. Answer an open call. Or form and lead a competence cell.
Ministries, statistics offices and agencies: a national desk and chapter, and a seat in the working groups. National chapters
Operators, regulators, banks, insurers and professional bodies whose work touches systemic risk. Participate
Draft, review and adopt the methods and data standards with the working groups. Working groups
Universities, civil society and individual experts: projects, data and review. Write to the team
| Open call | Seeks | Closes |
|---|---|---|
| Founding call for experts to the working groups CALL-FOUNDING-EXPERTS | expert, editor, chair | 2026-12-15 |
| Open nomination for the three independent expert seats of the Global Standards Council CALL-GSC-IND | council-member | 2026-12-01 |
| Nominations of interim regional members (applies only if the transitional provision is decided) CALL-GSC-REG | council-member | 2026-12-15 |
| Review of the wave-1 risk core outlines (C1, C2, C3, C4, C8, C10, C11) CALL-REVIEW-WAVE1 | contributor | 2027-01-31 |
| Experts for the core standards of risk science: uncertainty and evidence grading, scales, structured expert judgement, tolerability, extremes and compound events, catastrophic and existential risk, ethics and equity, units and measurement (NRS-C17 to NRS-C24) CALL-CORE-SCIENCE | expert, editor, chair | 2027-01-31 |
| Independent reviewers for the families of the hazard atlas, three from at least two regions for each family (NHS2-R19), priority families first CALL-ATLAS-REVIEW | expert | 2027-03-31 |
| Members of the interim Frontier Safety Review Panel and red-team reviewers (biosafety and biosecurity, AI safety and security, critical-infrastructure security); applications treated in confidence CALL-FRONTIER-SAFETY-REVIEW | expert | 2026-11-30 |
| Experts in ontology, metrology, software verification and conformity assessment for the requirement register, the NHS-2 machine representation, the conformance test suites and the conformity assessment scheme CALL-CONFORMANCE-ONTOLOGY | expert, editor | 2027-01-31 |
Calls past their closing date are hidden automatically. Every call, proposal and route: open areas and calls.
Bring together three to seven people with complementary skills: data, field practice, policy and communication.
Write to the team with the cell's name, members, area and region. You receive a reference and a contact. Write to the team
Pick one focus: research and evidence, data and maps, standards review, or community preparedness.
Follow shared study paths at Risk Academy, with practice and certificates of completion. Hazards and resilience
Hold regular sessions. Publish what the cell learns through Nexus Reports. Bring findings to the working groups. Working groups
What a national team or a local community can do on The Global Risks Index (GRIx) today.
Open risk profiles for 195 countries, with sources and licences on every value. Open the Index
Correct a value or reply for your country. The change is logged with its effect. Open the Index