GRA · Actuarial and Quantitative Risk
Spatial financeWhere capital meets hazard, exposure and transition
Publish in Reports
The platform contributes to Reports, published by the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), through the Methods and Technical and Finance and Insurance Readiness series.
Publish in Reports in five parts.
Reports among the six pillars.
Where all outputs are published, in all formats, across its five sites, each with sources, limits and corrections. It is led by the Nexus Consortium; its home is therisk.global/nexus-reports.
handoff in playrecorded handoffno direct handoff
Programme yearAll phases
Route
Around Reports
The pillars Reports hands work to and receives it from.
L · F · U · S · R · A
- Pillars
- 5 of 6
- Handoffs
- 16 of 18
- Loops
- 16 closed
Handoffs in play
- F01Universe → Foundry · Admitted mission becomes a cycle project with a decision caseReadiness preparation
- F02Foundry → Universe · Core Build Report and go or no-go evidenceControlled build
- F03Foundry → Reports · Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profileCloseout
- F04Universe → Reports · After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13After-action review
and 12 more
- LabsWhere questions become experiments and prototypes: new methods, data and tools are tried in the open, with their limits on record, before the Foundry builds them, under the Nexus Consortium.Labs
- FoundryWhere exposure and scenario evidence is built so supervisors, insurers and investors can read it.Actuarial and Quantitative Risk in FoundryFoundry
- UniverseWhere scenarios are tested in controlled exercises, and finance-readiness dialogues read what they mean for capital and cover.Actuarial and Quantitative Risk in Universeuniverse.nexus
- Nexus StandardsWhere disclosure and data rules are codified so risk evidence is comparable for finance and insurance.Finance, Insurance and the Economy in Standardsnexustandards.com
- ReportsWhere sector analysis and the finance and insurance readiness series are published, with exposure and limits stated.Actuarial and Quantitative Risk in ReportsReports
- Risk AcademyWhere finance, insurance and public-finance professionals learn to read risk evidence, on Risk Academy.Faculty of Finance and Economics in Academyrisksacademy.com
Reports in every area of the work
| Area | Reports |
|---|---|
| Leadership | Series editors lead each edition under the series method; no funder, sponsor or member can buy or block a finding. |
| Strategy | Each country programme agrees the scope of its profile before Q1, and nothing outside that scope is published. |
| Cadence | Quarterly: Q1 State and Agenda, Q2 Evidence and Build, Q3 Stress Test and Readiness, and the Q4 Annual Synthesis as the flagship; an edition is published after review, not to a calendar. |
| Ownership | Owns editions and their evidence cutoff, country and regional profiles, technology stream briefs and the correction history. |
| Process | Contribution, editorial review, publication with version history, then challenge and correction as a new version. |
| Development | Develops country profiles each quarter, regional profiles twice a year and one exponential technology stream at a time. |
| Simulations | Publishes scenario findings labelled as modelled, with their uncertainty. |
| Reporting | Publishes every output in every format across its five sites, each edition with sources, limits and corrections. |
| Governance | Publication is not authority: an edition is never a government risk register or a sovereign rating, and countries are never ranked. |
| Data and evidence | Observed, modelled and estimated evidence stay apart, and each edition states its evidence cutoff. |
| Finance and resourcing | The Finance and Insurance Readiness and the Portfolio and Readiness series make the evidence readable to finance. |
| Risk and assurance | Each finding states its method, uncertainty and limits, and reproducible concerns go to the owner of the finding. |
| Participation | Researchers and practitioners contribute reviewed findings, and any reader can challenge a finding. |
| Communication | Every output is published in accessible formats with its version history. |
| Local | Local evidence enters a profile only within the scope its country agreed. |
| National | Country profiles are updated each quarter, within the scope each country agreed before Q1. |
| Regional | Regional profiles are published twice a year, in Q2 and Q4, and never override a country’s own findings. |
| Planetary | The Q4 Annual Synthesis reads country, regional and technology work together, without ranking countries. |
What each institution brings
| Pillar | GCRI | GRF | GRA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reports | Hosts the canonical Reports site and publishes evidence on countries, sectors and methods. | Publishes governance analysis and authorises publication of the year’s results at gate G6. | Publishes sector analysis and the finance and insurance readiness series. |
Contributions.
Records follow the proposed Nexus Standards; conformance is described without certification.
Actuarial and Quantitative Risk report contributions are written for actuaries and quantitative analysts and follow the same review as its method notes.
How the process runs.
Process
Publish in Reports: Policy question to decision
A priority becomes a question, evidence, a decision case and a limited publication; the competent authority decides, never the programme.
01 Question
- 01A priority becomes a questionStep · Universe; national counterpartsA priority becomes a researchable question with stated criteria. National counterparts own the agenda, data and decisions.
- 03Scientific and stakeholder challengeStep · GCRI; the Global Risks Forum (GRF)Scientific and affected-stakeholder challenge informs mission selection and methods.
02 Evidence and options
- 04Assemble the evidenceStep · GCRIMethods, labelled data and uncertainty are assembled. Every finding carries one of nine evidence labels.
- 06Decision case with optionsRecord · The decision owner named in the caseA decision case binds owner, alternatives, evidence and deadline. It needs sensitivity and robustness.
03 Review and publication
- 07G6 · Publication authorisedGate · The Global Risks ForumGRF authorises publication of results that have passed scientific and editorial review. It cannot publish personal data.
- 08Publish with method, uncertainty and limitsRecord · ReportsFindings are published with their method, uncertainty and limits. An edition is published after review, not to a calendar.
04 Outside the programme
- 02Competent authority decidesDecision · The competent authorityThe authority or institution decides under its own rules. The authority decides; the programme informs.
- 05Action and implementation stay with the ownersActor · The relevant government, operator or licensed institutionDecisions and execution stay with the relevant government, operator or licensed institution. The programme records one only if shared.
05 Learning
- 09Corrections and lessons feed the next agendaStep · UniverseCorrections and lessons feed the next annual agenda. The findings of one year set the mandate of the next.
The Nexus cycle · Decision rights · The programme yearDesigned programme process, not a record of operation. No cycle has run and every programme is at service level R0. A gate is a programme decision, never a public-authority approval, certification or deployment authorisation.
Where this field publishes.
- 01
Methods and Technical
- 02
Finance and Insurance Readiness
From finding to edition.
- 01
Contribution
A reviewed finding with its method, evidence labels and limits.
- 02
Editorial review
Series editors check scope, method and consistency.
- 03
Publication
The edition is published with its version history.
- 04
Correction
Challenges are answered and corrections published as new versions.
Where this page’s references lead.
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
Questions and answers.
Who decides what is published?
Contribute evidence from this page.
Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
- EmailGateway GW-GRASend it from this pageEvidence, a correction, a case, a method, a review, a translation or profile input. It arrives tagged with this page, so the editor who owns it receives it.
- ZenodoOpen depositDeposit it and submit to the communityPublish your own record on Zenodo with your ORCID iD, then submit it to the Reports community there. Curators review it; the DOI stays yours.
- ReportsGlobal Risks AllianceSee every way to contributeThe contribution types, how each is reviewed, what credit you receive, the licence and what is never accepted.
Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.
Bring an exposure or capital question to the Alliance.
Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.
Legal documents.
Maps, data and figures on this site are shown for context and general information. They are not advice, forecasts or warnings; the limits of the information are set out in the Disclaimers and Data Notices.